Thursday, 9 November 2023

Predictions For Premier League Gameweek 12

It’s that time of the week again when I attempt to predict the outcomes of the upcoming Premier League games. I had a very bad week last week with no perfect predictions, two correct outcomes and eight incorrect outcomes to leave me in fourth place in my predictions league. Here’s a look at how the top five in that league stands.

RankPlayerResClsExaSlmPts
1
-
TeeBee
1749.54812126.5
2
-
Richard Landsberg
1752.53911119.5
3
-
Sam
25423911117.0
4
-
JamrockRover
 
2252.52411109.5
5
-
robbieg
1755.52710109.5

My choice of Erling Haaland as my fantasy captain didn’t work out last week as he went off injured at half time and I just can’t catch a break with my captaincy choices at the moment. Only three of my players managed to return points for me, but that was enough to see me climb in the rankings in what was a really tough week for almost everyone. Jarrod Bowen, Kaoru Mitoma and Hwang Hee-Chan were the players who performed for me and hopefully a few others will add to that total this week.

I’m tempted to make Bukayo Saka my captain this week, but I don’t want to put the mockers on him or Arsenal. Besides Saka the usual suspects of Haaland and Mohamed Salah have to be good options and maybe even Anthony Gordon with Newcastle playing away to Bournemouth. I don’t have any of the top three scoring midfielders in my team, but with some money in the bank I might just be able to bring Salah in this week.

Saturday November 11

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Tottenham Hotspur

12.30pm GMT, Molineux Stadium. Wolverhampton 

Wolves lost 2-1 away to Sheffield United last week and they’re now three points off the top half of the table. Their only home win so far came against last season’s champions with only Burnley and Sheffield United conceding more goals on their own ground.  The defeat against Sheffield United was their first defeat in six games, but they play two of the top four in their next three games.

With Pedro Neto injured Hwang Hee-Chan is the Wolves player most likely to make a difference for fantasy managers.

Spurs lost 4-1 at home to Chelsea last week after leading 1-0 and having two men sent off and that defeat saw them lose their place at the top of the table. They are the only team still unbeaten away from home and no other team has scored more goals on their travels. They have a tough run of games coming up after this one which could go a long way to showing us their title credentials.

Son Heung-Min and James Maddison are the Spurs players to have for fantasy managers.

I think Wolves will make a real game of it and I wouldn’t be surprised to see them take a point from Spurs.

Prediction: 1-1

Arsenal v Burnley

3pm GMT, Emirates Stadium, London 

Arsenal lost 1-0 away to Newcastle last week after a controversial VAR decision and that defeat saw them drop to fourth place. They’re still unbeaten at home with only Villa and City scoring more goals on their own patch. The defeat against Newcastle was their first defeat of the season with only City conceding less goals and they have a very good run of games coming up.

If he’s fit to play Bukayo Saka is the Arsenal player most likely to do well for fantasy managers and their defenders and keeper could be good choices too.

Burnley lost 2-0 at home to Palace last week and they’re now only off the foot of the table on goal difference. All of their points so far have come away from home, but only Sheffield United have scored less goals on the road. They have lost their last four games and they conceded 11 goals in those games with only Sheffield United conceding more goals.

If he’s fit to play Lyle Foster is the only Burnley player of any interest for fantasy managers.

I think Arsenal will bounce back from their first defeat last week to take the three points in this game.

Prediction: 3-1

Crystal Palace v Everton

3pm GMT, Selhurst Park, London 

Palace won 2-0 away to Burnley last week and they’re only off the top half of the table on goal difference. They haven’t won in their last three home games and no other team has scored less goals on their own ground, but only four other teams have conceded less. The win against Burnley was only their second win in seven games and only four other teams have scored less goals.

The Palace defenders and keeper are all doing very well for fantasy managers and Eberechi Eze might be worth considering too now that he’s back from injury.

Everton drew 1-1 at home to Brighton last week and they’re closer to the top half of the table than they are to the bottom three. They have taken seven points from their last four away games and their next three away games are all against teams in the bottom half of the table. They have taken 10 points from their last six games and that has moved them clear of the relegation zone.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin could possibly do well for fantasy managers if he can get a good run of games without injury.

I think Palace will make it back to back wins with a narrow victory in this game.

Prediction: 2-1

Manchester United v Luton Town

3pm GMT, Old Trafford, Manchester 

United scored a late goal to win 1-0 away to Fulham last week and they’re only six points off the top four despite their poor start to the season. They have lost three of their last four home games, but two of their next three home games are against teams in the bottom four. They have won four of their last six games, but no other team in the top half of the table has scored less goals.

Bruno Fernandes is the United player most likely to score points for fantasy managers at the moment.

Luton got a very good point in a 1-1 draw at home to Liverpool last week and that was enough to move them out of the relegation zone on goal difference. They have taken four of their six points away from home, but only Bournemouth have conceded more goals on the road. They haven’t won in five games and only the three teams below them have conceded more goals.

Carlton Morris started the season quite well for fantasy managers, but he hasn’t returned in five games and it’s probably best to avoid Luton players at the moment.

I think United will continue to climb the table with another three points in this game.

Prediction: 3-1

Bournemouth v Newcastle United

5.30pm GMT, Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth 

Bournemouth lost 6-1 away to City last week and that defeat saw them drop back into the relegation zone on goal difference. They won their last home game after failing to win the previous five and no other team has scored less goals on their own ground. They have lost five of their last six games with only Burnley scoring less goals.

I can’t see any Bournemouth players to recommend to fantasy managers at the moment.

Newcastle won 1-0 at home to Arsenal last week to move within four points of the top four. They have only won once in their five away games, but only Spurs have scored more goals on their travels thanks to the eight they put past Sheffield United. They have taken 17 points from their last seven games and they kept clean sheets in five of those games with only City scoring more goals.

With so many players injured at the moment Kieran Trippier and Anthony Gordon are probably the Newcastle players who can do well for fantasy managers.

I think Newcastle will keep the pressure on the top four by taking all the points in this game.

Prediction: 1-3

Sunday November 12

Aston Villa v Fulham

2pm GMT, Villa Park, Birmingham 

Villa lost 2-0 away to Forest last week, but they’re still only two points behind the top four. They are one of three teams still with a 100% record at home and no other team has scored more goals on their own patch. They had taken 16 points from their previous six games before losing to Forest and they play three of the four teams above them in their next four games after this one.

Ollie Watkins, Douglas Luiz and Moussa Diaby are the Villa players to have for fantasy managers at the moment.

Fulham lost 1-0 at home to United last week, but they’re still a lot closer to the top half of the table than they are to the bottom three. They haven’t won in their last five away games, but no other team has drawn more games on the road. They have only won once in their last six games with only Burnley scoring less goals.

I’m not sure there are any Fulham players doing enough to interest fantasy managers right now.

I think Villa’s impressive home form should see them take the three points in this game with a few goals to spare.

Prediction: 3-0

Brighton And Hove Albion v Sheffield United

2pm GMT, AMEX Stadium, Brighton 

Brighton drew 1-1 away to Everton last week, but they’re still only six points off the top four. They have taken eight points from their last four home games and only three other teams have scored more goals on their own ground. They haven’t won in five games, but they drew three of them and no other team in the top half of the table has conceded more goals.

Kaoru Mitoma is the Brighton player most likely to do well for fantasy managers while the returning Pervis Estupinan could be considered too.

United won 2-1 at home to Wolves with a last minute penalty last week to get their first win of the season, but it wasn’t enough to get them off the foot of the table. They’re the only team without a point away from home and no other team has scored less goals on their travels. They had lost six games in a row before beating Wolves and no other team has conceded more goals with only Burnley scoring less.

Cameron Archer is the only Sheffield United player for fantasy managers to even consider.

I think Brighton will put an end to their poor run with a comfortable victory in this game.

Prediction: 3-1

Liverpool v Brentford

2pm GMT, Anfield, Liverpool 

Liverpool scored a very late goal to draw 1-1 away to Luton last week and that point was enough to move them up to third place. They are one of the three teams with a 100% record at home and no other team has conceded less goals on their own ground. They have only won two of their last five games though and they travel to City in their next game.

Mohamed Salah and Darwin Nunez are the Liverpool players in form for fantasy managers at the moment.

Brentford won 3-2 at home to West Ham last week to move up to ninth place in the table. They have only won once in their last four away games, but only Arsenal have conceded less goals on the road. They have won their last three games after failing to win the previous six, but they face two of the top four in their next two games starting with this one.

Bryan Mbeumo and Mathias Jensen are both looking very good for fantasy managers and they’re still available at a good price.

I think Liverpool will be too strong for Brentford and will take all the points in this game.

Prediction: 3-1

West Ham United v Nottingham Forest

2pm GMT, London Stadium, London 

West Ham lost 3-2 away to Brentford last week and that defeat saw them drop into the bottom half of the table. They have only won once in their last four home games, but their next three home games are all against teams in the bottom half of the table. They have lost five of their last seven games and they conceded 16 goals in those games with only the bottom four conceding more goals.

Jarrod Bowen is the West Ham player to have for fantasy managers even if he’s doing his best work away from home.

Forest won 2-0 at home to Villa last week and they’re only one point behind West Ham going into this game. They have lost four of their six away games, but they have already played five of the big six on their travels and only Sheffield United have conceded more away goals. The win against Villa was their first win in seven games, but they drew four of those games and no other team has drawn more games.

With Taiwo Awoniyi back from injury he could be a very good choice for fantasy managers.

I think this will be a very close game with West Ham most likely emerging with all the points.

Prediction: 2-1

Chelsea v Manchester City

4.30pm GMT, Stamford Bridge, London 

Chelsea won 4-1 away to nine man Spurs last week and that win moved them into the top half of the table on goal difference. They have only taken one point from their last four home games and they failed to score in three of those games. They have taken 10 points from their last five games, but they are in the middle of a very tough run of games.

Despite his hat trick against Spurs I’m still not sure Nicolas Jackson is a good choice for fantasy managers and Raheem Sterling is probably a better bet.

City won 6-1 at home to Bournemouth last week to move back to the top of the table. Their only two defeats so far have come away from home, but only Spurs and Newcastle have scored more goals on the road. Despite maybe not being at their best they are still on the top of the table and they have scored more and conceded less goals than any other team. 

Erring Haaland is the obvious choice in the City team for fantasy managers with Phil Foden, and Jeremy Doku good options too as long as they avoid rotation.

I can’t see Chelsea having enough to stop City taking the three points in this game.

Prediction: 0-2

That’s it for this week.

See you next week.


1 comment:

  1. A shining example! Your post is both insightful and eloquently presented. Appreciate you sharing your valuable perspective.

    ReplyDelete