Thursday 23 November 2023

Predictions For Premier League Gameweek 13

It’s that time of the week again when I attempt to predict the outcomes of the upcoming Premier League games. I did reasonably well last time out with one perfect prediction, four correct outcomes and five incorrect outcomes which left me still in fourth place in my predictions league. Here’s a look at how the top five in that league stands.

RankPlayerResClsExaSlmPts
1
-
TeeBee
17574813135.0
2
1
Sam
2746.54512130.5
3
1
Richard Landsberg
17603912128.0
4
-
JamrockRover
23572712119.0
5
1
lousaurus
1758.53012117.5

My choice of Mohamed Salah as my captain paid off with him scoring nearly half of my points for the week and his tally was added to by Erling Haaland, Bukayo Saka and Ollie Watkins. Unfortunately the rest of my team didn’t come up with the goods and my decision to leave Konstantinos Tsimikas on the bench cost me badly. I lost a little ground overall, but the inclusion of Tsimikas would have moved me quite far in the opposite direction.

I’m more than likely going to make Haaland my captain this week, but the choice is far from easy. I’m considering bringing Taiwo Awoniyi in with Forest having a good run of games coming up, but I have to work out a way to find the funds.

Saturday November 25

Manchester City v Liverpool 

12.30pm GMT, Etihad Stadium, Manchester 

City drew 4-4 away to Chelsea last time out after being ahead three times and they’re one point ahead of Liverpool at the top of the table going into this game. They’re one of three teams still with a 100% record at home with only Liverpool conceding less goals on their own ground. They have taken 10 points from their last four games and they scored 15 goals in those games with no other team scoring more goals.

Erling Haaland is the must have City player for fantasy managers while Phil Foden, Bernardo Silva, Rodrigo Hernandez and Jeremy Doku all worth considering too.

Liverpool won 3-0 at home to Brentford in their last game to move up to second place within one point of City. They have only taken two points from their last three away games and they haven’t kept a clean sheet on the road so far. They have taken 11 points from their last five games and they scored 11 goals in those games with no other team conceding less goals.

Mohamed Salah is an absolute must have for fantasy managers too with Alisson Becker, Darwin Nunez, Diogo Jota and Dominik Sziboszlai all good options.

I think Liverpool will make a game of it, but home advantage should see City take the three points.

Prediction: 3-1

Burnley v West Ham United

3pm GMT, Turf Moor, Burnley

Burnley lost 3-1 away to Arsenal in their last game and that defeat left them at the foot of the table. They’re the only team without a point at home and no other team has conceded more or scored less goals on their own ground. They have lost their last five games and they conceded 14 goals in those games with only Sheffield United conceding more goals and no other team scoring less.

I can’t see any Burnley players to recommend to fantasy managers at the moment.

West Ham won 3-2 at home to Forest last time out and that win was enough to move them back into the top half of the table. They have lost their last three away games and they conceded 10 goals in those three games with only three other teams conceding more goals on their travels. The win against Forest was only their second win in eight games and only three other teams have conceded more goals, but four of their next five games are against teams in the bottom half of the table.

Jarrod Bowen is the West Ham player who can make a difference for fantasy managers with James Ward-Prowse a possibility too.

I think Burnley’s problems at home will continue with West Ham winning this game.

Prediction: 1-2

Luton Town v Crystal Palace

3pm GMT, Kenilworth Road, Luton

Luton lost 1-0 away to United in their last game, but Everton’s points deduction saw them move out of the relegation zone. They’re one of two teams without a home win and no other team has scored less goals on their own patch. They have only taken two points from their last six games with only Burnley scoring less goals.

I can’t see any Luton players doing enough to interest fantasy managers at the moment.

Palace lost 3-2 at home to Everton last time out, but they’re still only one point off the top half of the table. They have taken 10 points from their six away games with only two other teams taking more points on the road. They have only won once in their last five games, but their next three games are all against teams in the bottom half of the table starting with this one.

Joachim Andersen has been the best of the Palace players for fantasy managers so far, but Eberechi Eze could be their player to have now that he’s back from injury.

I think Palace will be good enough to win this game narrowly.

Prediction: 1-2

Newcastle United v Chelsea

3pm GMT, St. James’ Park, Newcastle 

Newcastle lost 2-0 away to Bournemouth in their last game and they’re now six points off the top four. They have won their last four home games without conceding a goal with only Liverpool conceding less goals on their own ground. The defeat against Bournemouth was their first defeat in eight games and three of their next four games are against big six teams.

Anthony Gordon has done very well for fantasy managers recently and Kieran Trippier is a very good choice too.

Chelsea drew 4-4 at home to City last time out and that point was enough to keep them in the top half of the table on goal difference. They have won their last three away games and they scored 10 goals in those games with only two other teams taking more points on their travels. They have only won once in their last four games and they have some tough games coming up.

Raheem Sterling and Cole Palmer are probably the Chelsea players most likely to return points for fantasy managers.

I don’t think there will be too much between these two teams and a draw is probably the most likely outcome.

Prediction: 1-1

Nottingham Forest v Brighton And Hove Albion

3pm GMT, City Ground, Nottingham 

Forest lost 3-2 away to West Ham in their last game, but they’re still a lot closer to the top half of the table than they are to the bottom three. They are still unbeaten at home, but they have drawn three of their home games and no other team has drawn more games on their own patch. They have only won once in their last eight games, but they drew four of them and no other team has drawn more games.

Taiwo Awoniyi could just be the Forest player to have for fantasy managers as long as he’s fit to play.

Brighton drew 1-1 at home to Sheffield United last time out as they continued to fall further behind the top four. They have only taken one point from their last three away games and they conceded nine goals in those games. They haven’t won in six games, but they drew four of them and no other team has drawn more games.

With so many injuries at the moment it’s not easy to suggest Brighton players to fantasy managers, but Simon Adringa might just be a very good reasonably priced choice.

I think Forest might just be good enough at home to take the three points in this game.

Prediction: 2-1

Sheffield United v Bournemouth 

3pm GMT, Bramall Lane, Sheffield 

United drew 1-1 away to Brighton in their last game and they’re now only one point off seventeenth place. They won their last home game after falling to win the previous five with only Burnley conceding more goals on their own ground. They have taken four points from their last two games after losing the previous six with no other team conceding more goals and only Burnley scoring less.

I can’t see any United players to recommend to fantasy managers at the moment. 

Bournemouth won 2-0 at home to Newcastle last time out to open up a four point gap over the bottom three. They have only taken one point away from home and no other team has conceded more goals on the road. They have won two of their last three games after failing to win the previous nine with only Sheffield United and Burnley conceding more goals.

Dominic Solanke is the Bournemouth player who has done very well for fantasy managers so far.

This is a big game for two teams at the wrong end of the table and the chances are the spoils will be shared.

Prediction: 1-1

Brentford v Arsenal 

5.30pm GMT, Gtech Community Stadium, London 

Brentford lost 3-0 away to Liverpool in their last game, but they’re only outside the top half of the table on goal difference. They have won their last two home games and they scored six goals in those games, but this will be their toughest home game so far. They had won three games in a row before losing to Liverpool and their fixtures get easier after this one.

Bryan Mbeumo is the outstanding Brentford player for fantasy managers while Mathias Jensen is worth considering too.

Arsenal won 3-1 at home to Bournemouth last time out to move within one point of City at the top of the table. They have only taken one point from their last two away games, but only Spurs and City have taken more points on their travels. They only play one of the other big six teams in their next 10 games and no other team has conceded less goals.

Bukayo Saka is the Arsenal player of choice for fantasy managers at the moment with all of their defenders worth thinking about too.

I think this will be a very close game with Arsenal more than likely winning by a single goal.

Prediction: 1-2

Sunday November 26

Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa

2pm GMT, Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London 

Spurs lost 2-1 away to Wolves with two added time goals in their last game and that defeat saw them drop to fourth place.  They lost their last home game after winning the previous four, but they haven’t found goals too easy to come by on their own ground. They have lost their last two games and they conceded six goals in those defeats.

Son Heung-Min is the Spurs player most likely to make a difference for fantasy managers.

Villa won 3-1at home to Fulham last time out and they’re now only one point behind the top four. They have lost half of their away games and only four other teams have scored less goals on the road. They have taken 19 points from their last eight games with only City scoring more goals.

Ollie Watkins, Douglas Luiz and Moussa Diaby are the Villa players who should be of real interest to fantasy managers.

This is a very big game for both teams in their top four aspirations and the most likely outcome is a draw.

Prediction: 2-2

Everton v Manchester United

4.30pm GMT, Goodison Park, Liverpool 

Everton won 3-2 away to Palace last time out and that win looked to have moved them safely away from the relegation zone, but their subsequent 10 point deduction for financial fair play issues has seen them fall back and they’re only off the foot of the table on goal difference. They have taken four points from their last two home games after losing the previous four. They have taken 13 points from their last seven games, but they play three of the big six in their next four games.

I’m still not sure there are any Everton players doing enough to interest fantasy managers.

United won 1-0 at home to Luton in their last game to move into sixth place despite what appears to have been a very poor start to their season. They have won their last three away games, but only Sheffield United have scored less goals on their travels and only two other teams have conceded less. They have won four of their last five games, but no other team in the top half of the table has scored less goals.

Bruno Fernandes is still the only United player doing anything for fantasy managers.

I think Everton will be galvanised by their points deduction and should take the three points as long as they don’t waste too many chances.

Prediction: 2-1

Monday November 27

Fulham v Wolverhampton Wanderers

8pm GMT, Craven Cottage, London 

Fulham lost 3-1 away to Villa last time out, but they still have a comfortable seven point gap over the bottom three. They have lost two of their last three home games and no other team has scored less goals on their own patch. They have only taken one point from their last four games with only Burnley scoring less goals. 

Fulham players haven’t exactly set the world alight recently for fantasy managers.

Wolves got two last gasp goals to win 2-1 at home to Spurs in their last game and they’re now within a point of the top half of the table. Their two away wins have come against teams struggling at the wrong end of the table and only four other teams have conceded less goals on the road. They have taken 12 points from their last seven games and they play teams below them in the table in three of their next four games.

If he’s fit to play Pedro Neto is the Wolves player to have for fantasy managers and he has been ably supported by Hwang Hee-Chan too.

I don’t think there will be too much between these two teams and I wouldn’t be surprised if the spoils were shared.

Prediction: 1-1

That’s it for this week.

See you next week.

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