Friday, 14 April 2023

Predictions For Premier League Gameweek 31

It’s that time of the week again when I attempt to predict the outcomes of the upcoming Premier League games. I did pretty well last week with three perfect predictions, two correct outcomes and five incorrect outcomes which moved me even closer to the top five in my predictions league. At this stage finishing fifth is about the height of my ambitions, but I have made up a lot of ground in the last two weeks. Here’s a look at how the top five in that league stands.

RankPlayerResClsExaSlmPts
1
-
Gooners
42112.510221277.5
2
-
RobbieZ
4494.510819265.5
3
1
Richard Landsberg
43130.56921263.5
4
1
Rutland Gooner
39115.58719260.5
5
1
robbieg
42118.57821259.5

My fantasy team did reasonably well last week thanks mainly to my decision to bring Erling Haaland back in. Besides his two goals I got contributions from Marcus Rashford, Solly March, Harry Kane and Ollie Watkins to make up some ground overall. My overall rank has improved for five weeks in a row and I hope to continue that trend until the end of the season.

Haaland is the obvious choice for captain yet again this week  with City playing at home to Leicester who are in very bad form at the moment. With Rashford injured I might consider bringing Jack Grealish in as he’s doing very well right now. As I mentioned before I’ll be using my free hit next week with City, United, Chelsea and Brighton all not playing due to the FA Cup semi finals.

Saturday April 15

Aston Villa v Newcastle United

12.30pm BST, Villa Park, Birmingham 

Villa won 2-0 at home to Forest last week and they have now moved into the top six with the prospect of European football growing with each game they play. They have won their last three home games without conceding a goal, but Fulham are the only team in the top half of the table to have conceded more goals on their own ground. They have taken 19 points from their last seven games and they kept clean sheets in five of those games.

Ollie Watkins is the in form Villa player for fantasy managers with Emiliano Buendia, Emiliano Martinez and Tyrone Mings good options too.

Newcastle won 2-1 away to Brentford last week and their chances of finishing in the top four are looking very good at the moment. They have won their last three away games and they scored nine goals in those games with only Arsenal conceding less goals on their travels. They have won their last five games after failing to win the previous five and no other team has conceded less goals.

Kieran Trippier is the Newcastle player to have for fantasy managers with all of their defenders and keeper looking good too as well as Alexander Isak.

I think this is going to be a very close game and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the spoils shared.

Prediction: 1-1

Chelsea v Brighton And Hove Albion

3pm BST, Stamford Bridge, London 

Chelsea lost 1-0 away to Wolves last week and they’re still in the bottom half of the table with their chances of European football next season fading by the week. They have only won once in their last six home games and they failed to score in four of those games with only five other teams scoring less goals on their own patch. They have only won four of their last 21 games despite all the money they have spent.

Chelsea’s defenders and keeper are their only players making any sort of impression for fantasy managers at the moment.

Brighton lost 2-1 away to Spurs last week thanks in no small part to some awful VAR decisions and that defeat saw them drop to seventh place. They have only won once in their last five away games, but only the top two have scored more goals on the road. They have taken 22 points from their last 12 games with only three other teams scoring more goals.

Solly March, Kaoru Mitoma, Alexis MacAllister and Pervis Estupinan are all very good options for fantasy managers right now.

I think Brighton will pile more misery on Chelsea by taking the three points in this game.

Prediction: 1-2

Everton v Fulham

3pm BST, Goodison Park, Liverpool 

Everton lost 2-0 away to United last week and they’re only above the relegation zone on goal difference. They have taken 10 points from their last five home games, but no other team has scored less goals on their own ground. They have only won once in their last seven games and no other team has scored less goals.

I can’t see any Everton players to recommend to fantasy managers at the moment.

Fulham lost 1-0 at home to West Ham last week and they only managed to stay in the top half of the table on goal difference. They have only won once in their last five away games and three of their last four away games after this one are very tough. They have lost their last four games and they conceded nine goals in those games with no other team in the top half of the table scoring less goals.

Andreas Pereira is the Fulham player most likely to get some points for fantasy managers.

I think Everton should make their home advantage count and get three very valuable points in this game.

Prediction: 1-0

Southampton v Crystal Palace

3pm BST, St. Mary’s Stadium, Southampton 

Southampton lost 4-1 at home to City last week and they’re still holding up the rest of the table with games starting to run out for them. They have only taken one point from their last three home games and they conceded nine goals in those games with no other team taking less points or conceding more goals on their own patch. They have only taken two points from their last five games and they failed to score in three of them with only Everton scoring less goals.

I’m not sure there are any Southampton players to interest fantasy managers at the moment, but James Ward-Prowse could possibly prove me wrong.

Palace won 5-1 away to Leeds last week to move six points clear of the bottom three. They won their last away game after only taking one point from the previous six and they will fancy their chances in this game too. They have won their last two games after failing to win the previous 12 and they scored seven goals in those two wins after only scoring five in the 12 games without a win.

If he can play like he did last week Michael Olise could do very well for fantasy managers and Eberechi Eze is worth considering too.

I think Palace have shown enough in their last two games to suggest they will take the three points in this game.

Prediction: 1-2

Tottenham Hotspur v Bournemouth 

3pm BST, Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London 

Spurs won 2-1 at home to Brighton last week, but they’re still three points off the top four and they have played a game more than the two teams they are chasing. They have won their last five home games and they kept clean sheets in three of them. They have taken 20 points from their last 10 games, but no other team in the top half of the table has conceded more goals and only the top two have scored more.

Harry Kane is the Spurs player to have for fantasy managers at the moment.

Bournemouth won 1-0 away to Leicester last week and that win was enough to move them three points above the relegation zone. They have won two of their last four away games, but no other team has conceded more goals on the road. They have won three of their last five games and they play other teams from the wrong end of the table in their next three games after this one.

Philip Billing is the Bournemouth player who has performed well recently for fantasy managers.

I think Bournemouth will make things difficult for Spurs, but the three points will go to the home team.

Prediction: 2-0

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Brentford

3pm BST, Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton 

Wolves won 1-0 at home to Chelsea last week and that win moved them four points clear of the bottom three. They have won four of their last six home games and they kept clean sheets in each of those wins, but no other team has scored less goals at home. They have only won two of their last eight games with only Everton scoring less goals.

I’m not sure there are any Wolves to recommend to fantasy managers at the moment.

Brentford lost 2-1 at home to Newcastle last week and their chances of European football next season seem to be fading fast. They have only won once in their last six away games and no other team has drawn more games on the road. They haven’t won in four games and no other team has drawn more games.

Ivan Toney is the Brentford player to have for fantasy managers with David Raya and Mathias Jensen doing pretty well too.

I think this will be a very close game and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it end in a draw.

Prediction: 1-1

Manchester City v Leicester City

5.30pm BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester 

City won 4-1 away to Southampton last week to move within six points of Arsenal at the top of the table and they have a game in hand too. They have won their last five home games and they scored 16 goals in those games with no other team scoring more goals on their own ground and only Arsenal taking more points. They have taken 22 points from their last eight games and they scored 22 goals in those games with no other team scoring more goals and only Newcastle conceding less.

As I said already Haaland is an absolute must have for fantasy managers with both Kevin de Bruyne and Grealish in very good form too.

Leicester lost 1-0 at home to Bournemouth last week and they’re now second last in the table, but they’re still only two points from safety. They have only taken one point from their last four away games with only Bournemouth and Forest conceding more goals on the road. They have only taken one point from their last eight games and they failed to score in four of them, but no other team in the bottom half of the table has scored more goals.

James Maddison and Harvey Barnes are the Leicester players most likely to do well for fantasy managers, but probably not in this game.

I can’t see anything other than a comfortable City victory in this game.

Prediction: 4-0

Sunday April 16

West Ham United v Arsenal

2pm BST, London Stadium, London 

West Ham won 1-0 away to Fulham last week and that win moved them three points clear of the relegation zone. They have taken 11 points from their last six home games, but they play three of the big six in their last four games on their own ground. They have taken 10 points from their last five games, but they will do well to get anything from this game. 

I can’t see any West Ham players performing consistently enough to interest fantasy managers.

Arsenal led 2-0 away to Liverpool last week, but they had to settle for a 2-2 draw and they’re now only six points ahead of City at the top of the table having played a game more. They have taken 10 points from their last four away games with no other team taking more points, scoring more or conceding less goals on their travels. They had won seven games in a row before drawing with Liverpool and they have scored 25 goals in their last eight games with only City scoring more goals.

Gabriel Martinelli is doing really well for fantasy managers at the moment, but there are so many Arsenal players to choose from with Bukayo Saka, Gabriel Jesus and Gabriel Magahlaes to name just a few.

I think West Ham will make a game of it, but the chances are Arsenal will take the three points.

Prediction: 1-2

Nottingham Forest v Manchester United

4.30pm BST, City Ground, Nottingham 

Forest lost 2-0 away to Villa last week and that defeat saw them drop into the bottom three. They haven’t won in their last four home games and three of their last four home games are very difficult starting with this one. They have only taken three points from their last nine games and they conceded 19 goals in those games with only Bournemouth conceding more goals.

If Forest players are going to do well for fantasy managers it’s in their home games with Brennan Johnson and Kieran Gibbs-White the two most likely to shine.

United won 2-0 at home to Everton last week to maintain their place in the top four, but they have a lot of games to play between now and the end of the season. They have only won once in their last five away games and no other team in the top half of the table has conceded more goals on the road. They have won their last two games without conceding a goal after failing to win the previous three without scoring a goal.

With Marcus Rashford injured Bruno Fernandes is the United player most likely to make a difference for fantasy managers.

I think United will put Forest in even more trouble at the wrong end of the table by winning this game.

Prediction: 1-2

Monday April 17

Leeds United v Liverpool 

8pm BST. Elland Road, Leeds

Leeds lost 5-1 at home to Palace last week and they’re still only two points above the relegation zone. They have taken seven points from their last four home games, but three of their remaining four home games are very difficult. They have taken 10 points from their last seven games, but only Bournemouth have conceded more goals.

I’m not sure there are any Leeds players to recommend to fantasy managers, but at a push Jack Harrison is certainly worth a look.

Liverpool came back from 2-0 down to draw 2-2 at home to Arsenal last week, but they’re now 12 points off the top four with only nine games left to play. They have only won once in their last eight away games, but their remaining away games are all against teams in the bottom seven. Since beating United 7-0 they have only taken two points from four games, but they have a very good run of games to finish the season.

Mohamed Salah is still the Liverpool player to have for fantasy managers despite his penalty miss last week.

I think Liverpool should be good enough in attack to get a rare away victory in this game.

Prediction: 1-3

That’s it for this week.

See you next week.

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