Saturday, 11 February 2023

Premier League Gameweek 23 Predictions

It’s that time of the week again when I attempt to predict the outcomes of the upcoming Premier League games. I didn’t do well yet again with my predictions last week as I only managed four correct outcomes and seven incorrect outcomes which left me languishing in seventh place in my predictions league. Here’s a look at how the top five in that league looks.

RankPlayerResClsExaSlmPts
1
-
Gooners
3076.56914189.5
2
-
IAMC0Le
3370.57211186.5
3
1
RobbieZ
31667811186.0
4
1
robbieg
3085.55713185.5
5
-
Rutland Gooner
27846013184.0

My choice of Marcus Rashford as my captain last week paid off as he did very well in the two matches he played and my only regret was not using my triple captain chip on him. I did fairly well though and I moved up a little bit overall, but I still have a long way to go if I’m going to get anywhere near my overall place of last season. Besides Rashford, Bruno Fernandes and Kepa Arrizabalaga were the only other players in my team to get me anything and I need that to improve this week. With City and Arsenal playing twice I will be tripling up on players from both teams and hopefully I can gain more ground. 

Saturday February 11

West Ham United v Chelsea 

12.30pm GMT, London Stadium, London 

West Ham drew 1-1 away to Newcastle last week and that point kept them one point above the relegation zone. They won their last home game after losing the previous four and only four other teams have scored less goals on their own ground. They have taken four points from their last two games after only taking one from the previous seven.

I still can’t see any West Ham players doing enough to interest fantasy managers.

Chelsea drew 0-0 at home to Fulham last week and they still have 10 points to make up on the top four. They haven’t won in their last six away games and they only scored three goals in those games. They have only won two of their last 12 games and they only scored seven goals in those games while no other team in the top half of the table has scored less goals.

Chelsea’s defenders and keeper are looking pretty good for fantasy managers, but I’m still not sure which of their attacking players to choose.

I think this will be a very close game and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it end in a draw.

Prediction: 1-1

Arsenal v Brentford 

3pm GMT, Emirates Stadium, London 

Arsenal lost 1-0 away to Everton last week, but they maintained their five point lead at the top of the table when City beaten the next day. They’re one of two teams still unbeaten at home with only City scoring more goals on their own patch. The defeat against Everton was their first defeat in 14 games and they only play one of the other big six teams in their next nine games.

With two games this week all of Arsenal’s defenders and keeper are good choices for fantasy managers along with Martin Odegaard, Bukayo Saka, Gabriel Martinelli and Eddie Nketiah.

Brentford won 3-0 at home to Southampton last week and that win moved them up to seventh place. They have taken eight points from their last four away games and their next two away games are against teams in the relegation zone. They are unbeaten in nine games and they kept clean sheets in four of their last five with only Newcastle drawing more games.

Ivan Toney is still the best of the Brentford players for fantasy managers while David Raya, Ben Mee and Mathias Jensen have all looked good recently too.

I think Brentford will make a real game of it, but Arsenal should take the three points.

Prediction: 2-1

Crystal Palace v Brighton And Hove Albion 

3pm GMT, Selhurst Park, London 

Palace lost 2-1 away to United last week and they’re still five points off the top half of the table. They have only taken two points from their last four home games and they only scored one goal in those games. They have only won once in their last eight games and they failed to score in five of those games.

I can’t see any Palace players to recommend to fantasy managers at the moment.

Brighton won 1-0 at home to Bournemouth last week and that win kept them in sixth place. They have taken 10 points from their last four away games and they scored 12 goals in those games with no other team scoring more goals on the road. They have taken 10 points from their last four games and they have scored 23 goals in their last nine games with only three other teams scoring more goals.

Kaoru Mitoma is the in form Brighton player for fantasy managers while Pervis Estupinan has looked the part recently too.

I think this will be a close game with Brighton probably getting a narrow victory.

Prediction: 1-2

Fulham v Nottingham Forest 

3pm GMT, Craven Cottage, London 

Fulham drew 0-0 away to Chelsea last week and that point meant they dropped one place to eighth. They lost their last home game after winning the previous two and their next two home games are against teams in the bottom half of the table including this one. They have only taken one point from their last three games after winning the previous four and they failed to score in their last three games too.

Aleksandar Mitrovic is still the Fulham player most likely to do well for fantasy managers even if he hasn’t done much recently and Andreas Pereira is probably in the same boat too.

Forest won 1-0 at home to Leeds last week and they have moved up to 13th place with six points to spare over the relegation zone. They have taken four points from their last two away games after only taking two in the previous eight with only Bournemouth and Leicester conceding more away goals. They have taken 11 points from their last five games and they only conceded two goals in those games, but only two other teams have scored less goals.

Both Brennan Johnson and Morgan Gibbs-White have done well recently for fantasy managers with the Forest defenders and keeper good options too.

I don’t think there will be too much between these two teams, but the chances are Liverpool will take the three points.

Prediction: 1-0

Leicester City v Tottenham Hotspur 

3pm GMT, King Power Stadium, Leicester 

Leicester won 4-2 away to Villa last week and that win moved them three points clear of the relegation zone. They have only taken one point from their last four home games and they failed to score in three of those games. They had only taken one point from five games before beating Villa with only Bournemouth and Southampton conceding more goals.

With James Maddison back in action he’s the Leicester player who can make a difference for fantasy managers.

Spurs won 1-0 at home to City last week and that win left them only one point behind fourth place. They have taken 10 points from their last five away games with only Arsenal taking more points on their travels. They have won their last two games without conceding a goal after losing three of the previous four and no other team in the top half of the table has conceded more goals.

Harry Kane remains the pick of the bunch in the Spurs team for fantasy managers while Fraser Forster could be a good cut price option with Hugo Lloris injured.

I think this should be a close game and the chances are the spoils will be shared.

Prediction: 2-2

Southampton v Wolverhampton Wanderers 

3pm GMT, St. Mary’s Stadium, Southampton 

Southampton lost 3-0 away to Brentford last week and that loss left them rooted to the foot of the table. They have lost their last four home games and no other team has taken less points, scored less or conceded more goals on their own ground. They have lost eight of their last nine games and they conceded 19 goals in those games with only Bournemouth conceding more goals.

James Ward-Prowse is the only Southampton player for fantasy managers to even consider.

Wolves won 3-0 at home to Liverpool last week and that win moved them two points above the bottom three. They lost their last away game after taking five points from the previous three and only Bournemouth have taken less points on the road. They have taken 10 points from their last six games, but no other team has scored less goals.

Jose Sa and Max Kilman have looked good recently for fantasy managers and they have a good run of games coming up.

This is a game which could go either way and the chances are it will end all square.

Prediction: 1-1

Bournemouth v Newcastle United 

5.30pm GMT, Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth 

Bournemouth lost 1-0 away to Brighton last week and they’re now only one place off the bottom of the table. They have taken four points from their last three home games, but their next three home games are all very tough starting with this one. They have only taken one point from their last six games and they only scored one goal in those games while no other team has conceded more goals.

I can’t see any Bournemouth players to recommend to fantasy managers at the moment.

Newcastle drew 1-1 at home to West Ham last week and that point wasn’t enough for them to hold on to third place. They have drawn their last two away games and they failed to score in both of those games with no other team drawing more games and conceding less goals on the road. They have drawn four of their last five games and they only scored two goals in those games, but no other team has conceded less goals.

Newcastle’s defenders and keeper are in great form for fantasy managers at the moment, but their attacking players aren’t doing too much.

I think Newcastle will be too strong for Bournemouth and should win by at least a couple of goals.

Prediction: 0-2

Sunday February 12

Leeds United v Manchester United 

2pm GMT, Elland Road, Leeds 

Leeds lost 1-0 away to Forest and drew 2-2 away to United last week and that point kept them one point above the bottom three. They have taken five points from their last four home games and they need to improve their home form if they’re going to avoid the drop. They haven’t won in eight games, but they drew four of them and their next two games after this one are against teams in the bottom three.

Wilfried Gnonto is available at a very good price and he’s probably the Leeds player of most interest to fantasy managers at the moment.

United won 2-1 at home to Palace and drew 2-2 at home to Leeds last week and those four points moved them up to third place. They have only taken one point from their last two away games and no other team in the top half of the table has conceded more goals on the road. They have only won once in their last four games and they haven’t kept a clean sheet in five, but they have scored in each of their last 13 games.

Marcus Rashford is the outstanding United player for fantasy managers with Bruno Fernandes and Luke Shaw in good form too.

I think this will be just as close as the reverse fixture was in midweek with United most likely taking all the points.

Prediction: 1-2

Manchester City v Aston Villa 

4.30pm GMT, Etihad Stadium, Manchester 

City lost 1-0 away to Spurs last week and they missed the chance to close the gap at the top of the table because of that defeat. They have won their last two home games and they scored seven goals in those games with no other team scoring more goals or taking more points on their own patch. They have only won four of their last eight games, but they could be on top of the league if they win both of their games this week.

With two games this week Erling Haaland is a must have for fantasy managers with Riyad Mahrez and Kevin de Bruyne very good choices too.

Villa lost 4-2 at home to Leicester last week and that defeat stopped them from moving into the top half of the table. They have won their last three away games and they only conceded one goal in those games, but only four other teams have scored less goals on their travels. They had taken 16 points from seven games before losing to Leicester and they play both of the top two in their next two games starting with this one.

Emiliano Buendia looks like the Aston Villa who can return points for fantasy managers at the moment.

I think City will get back on course by winning this game by at least a couple of goals.

Prediction: 3-1

Monday February 13

Liverpool v Everton 

8pm GMT, Anfield, Liverpool 

Liverpool lost 3-0 away to Wolves last week and they’re now as close to the relegation zone as they are to the top four. They have taken 13 points from their last six home games and only three other teams have conceded less goals on their own ground. They have only taken one point and scored one goal in their last four games and they could slip into the bottom half of the table if they don’t win this game.

I can’t see any Liverpool players doing enough to interest fantasy managers at the moment, but surely that has to change soon.

Everton won 1-0 at home to Arsenal last week, but that win wasn’t enough to lift them out of the relegation zone. They have only taken two points and scored one goal in their last six away games with only Forest scoring less goals on their travels. The win against Arsenal was their first win in nine games and only Wolves have scored less goals.

Despite their win last week I’m still not sure there are any Everton players doing enough to recommend them to fantasy managers.

This is a tough game to predict, but the chances are home advantage should be enough to see Liverpool emerge victorious.

Prediction: 2-1

Wednesday February 15

Arsenal v Manchester City 

7.30pm GMT, Emirates Stadium, London 

Arsenal play their second game of the week and it doesn’t get much bigger than playing the team directly below them in the league. This is their second home game of the week and they will be in a very strong position at the top of the table if they win them both. They lost to City in the FA Cup a couple of weeks ago, but their first league meeting of the season could give us a better idea of Arsenal’s title chances.

As I said already Arsenal players are looking good for fantasy managers with two games this week and another two games in two weeks time.

City play their second game of the week and they have the opportunity to close the gap on Arsenal at the top of the table. They have lost their last two away games and they cannot afford to lose this game too. If they can win this game it could give them the platform to retain the title as long as they aren’t kicked out of the league for their alleged breaches of FFP.

As long as Pep Guardiola doesn’t rotate too much the City players I mentioned above should do well for fantasy managers this week.

I think this is a game which could go either way and I wouldn’t be surprised if neither team takes all three points.

Prediction: 2-2

That’s it for this week.

See you next week.

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