Friday 10 May 2019

Predictions For Premier League Gameweek 38

It’s that time of the week again when I attempt to predict the outcomes of the upcoming Premier League games. I didn’t do too badly last week with one perfect prediction, four correct outcomes and five incorrect outcomes, but I’m still sixth in my predictions league with only one week to go. Here’s a look at how the top five in that league stands.

POSITIONPLAYER NAMETHIS WEEKPOINTS
 1 (1) whitgooner
frank merrick
2860
 2 (2) David96 2720
 3 (3) stevew3ok 2695
 4 (4) mbbeth
Malcolm Beth
2690
 5 (5) JediKnut 2685

Sunday May 12

All games 3pm BST

Brighton And Hove Albion v Manchester City

AMEX Stadium, Brighton 

Brighton came from behind to get a very good 1-1 draw away to Arsenal last week after their Premier League status was assured for another season when Cardiff lost to Palace. They have only taken one point and scored one goal in their last four home games with only Huddersfield and Palace scoring less goals at home. They haven’t won in eight games and they failed to score in six of those games, but it was still enough to keep them up.

I can’t see any Brighton players to recommend to fantasy managers in this game.

City just about managed to win 1-0 at home to Leicester last week to keep their one point lead at the top of the table with one game to go. They have won their last six away games and they only conceded one goal in those games with only Liverpool taking more away points and no other team scoring more or conceding less goals on their travels. They have win their last 13 games and they kept clean sheets in 10 of those games with no other team scoring more goals or conceding less.

The City defenders are probably the players most likely to do well for fantasy managers in this game.

I think City should just about have enough to get the win they need to retain their Premier League title.

Prediction: 2-0

Burnley v Arsenal 

Turf Moor, Burnley

Burnley lost 2-0 away to Everton last week, but they were already safe from any relegation worries before that game. They have lost three of their last five home games and only three other teams have conceded more goals at home. They haven’t won in their last three games and only the three relegated teams have conceded more goals, but they will fancy their chances against a team on a very poor run of league results.

Chris Wood and Ashley Barnes might be the Burnley players to have for fantasy managers this week.

Arsenal couldn’t manage to win at home to Brighton last week and their Champions League ambitions are as good as over barring a miracle via the league at least. They have lost three of their last four away games and only five other teams have conceded more goals away from home. They have only taken four points in their last six games, but only the top two have scored more goals.

With their top four chances gone and their eggs in the Europa League basket I can’t see any Arsenal players to recommend to fantasy managers.

My heart always goes for Arsenal and it will rule my head yet again in this game.

Prediction: 1-2

Crystal Palace v Bournemouth 

Selhurst Park, London 

Palace won 3-2 away to Cardiff last week to move up to twelfth place, but they can’t make it into the top half of the table. They have only won once in their last six home games with only Huddersfield taking less points and scoring less goals at home. They have taken 10 points from their last five games and Newcastle are the only team in the bottom half of the table to have conceded less goals.

Despite their poor home form I still think Wilfried Zaha could be the Palace player to watch for fantasy managers this week.

Bournemouth got a last minute goal to win 1-0 at home to nine man Spurs last week and they’re only a point behind Palace going into this game. They have taken seven points from their last four away games, but only Fulham and Huddersfield have conceded more goals away from home. They have only won three of their last 13 games and only the three relegated teams have conceded more goals.

Both Callum Wilson and Ryan Fraser are possibilities for fantasy managers this week.

I think this will by a close game and Palace might just get a rare home win.

Prediction: 2-1

Fulham v Newcastle United 

Craven Cottage, London

Fulham lost 1-0 away to Wolves last week to put an end to a run of three consecutive wins and that defeat meant they will definitely finish second last in the league. They have won their last two home games without conceding any goals, but only three other teams have taken less points at home and only Cardiff have conceded more goals on their own patch. They have won three of their last four games and they kept clean sheets in each of those victories, but no other team has conceded more goals.

Ryan Babel has been the Fulham player to have for fantasy managers in recent weeks.

Newcastle lost 3-2 at home to Liverpool last week, but they gave Liverpool a very good run for their money. They have only won once in their last 10 away games, but only the top two have conceded less goals away from home. They had taken seven points from three games before losing to Liverpool, but only the bottom three clubs have scored less goals.

Ayoze Perez has been in good form recently for fantasy managers and he could do well in this game.

I think this will be a close game and Fulham might just say goodbye to the Premier League with a narrow win.

Prediction: 1-0

Leicester City v Chelsea 

King Power Stadium, Leicester 

Leicester lost 1-0 away to City last week, but they came very close to handing the league to Liverpool. They have won four of their last five home games and they scored 10 goals in those games, but their home record is only marginally better than their away record. They have taken 16 points from their last eight games and the season has probably ended a little early for them.

Both Jamie Vardy and Youri Tielemans have done very well recently for fantasy managers and they could profit from playing against a tired Chelsea team in this game. 

Chelsea won 3-0 at home to Watford last week to guarantee a place in the top four with a week to spare. They have lost five of their last eight away games and they have conceded more goals than they have scored on the road. They have taken 14 points from their last seven games to cement their top four place and they can rest a few players ahead of their Europa League final later this month.

I’m not sure what Chelsea players will play which makes it difficult to recommend any of them to fantasy managers.

I think Leicester will get the better of a tired Chelsea team to take the three points in this game.

Prediction: 2-0

Liverpool v Wolverhampton Wanderers 

Anfield, Liverpool 

Liverpool left it late away to Newcastle last week, but their 3-2 win kept them one point behind City at the top of the table with just one game left to play. They are the only team unbeaten at home with only City scoring more home goals and no other team conceding less. They have won their last eight games and they kept clean sheets in three of the last four with only City scoring more goals and no other team conceding less.

Both Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane are very good choices for fantasy managers along with the Liverpool keeper and defenders as they look to overtake City to win the title on the final day of the season.

Wolves won 1-0 at home to Fulham last week to guarantee they will finish in seventh place. They have only won once in their last six away games, but only the top two have conceded less goals at home. They have taken 10 points from their last four games and only the top four teams have conceded less goals.

I’m not so sure any of the Wolves players will do well for fantasy managers in this game.

I think Liverpool will get the win they need, but it probably won’t be enough to overtake City and they will have to settle for second place.

Prediction: 2-0

Manchester United v Cardiff City

Old Trafford, Manchester 

United could only draw 1-1 away to Huddersfield last week and that point finally ended their top four hopes. They have only won three of their last seven home games and they have conceded considerably more goals at home than the rest of the top six. They haven’t won in four games and they haven’t kept a clean sheet in ten, but they can still catch Arsenal and finish fifth. 

With a home game against one of the worst defences in the league surely Paul Pogba and Marcus Rashford can do well for fantasy managers this week.

Cardiff lost 3-2 at home to Palace last week and that defeat was enough to finally relegate them. They have lost four of their last five away games and they failed to score in each of those defeats with no other team scoring less goals away from home. They have lost nine of their last 11 games with only Huddersfield scoring less goals and only Fulham conceding more.

I can’t see any Cardiff players to recommend to fantasy managers.

I can’t see anything other than a comfortable United victory in this game despite their current form.

Prediction: 3-1

Southampton v Huddersfield Town

St. Mary’s Stadium, Southampton 

Southampton lost 3-0 away to West Ham last week, but they were already safe from relegation before that game. They have taken 10 points from their last five home games, but no other team has drawn more games on their own ground. They haven’t won in four games and they haven’t kept a clean sheet in six with only four other teams conceding more goals. 

Nathan Redmond and Shane Long have been the best of the Southampton players for fantasy managers in recent weeks and they could do well in this game.

Huddersfield got a very good point with a 1-1 draw at home to United last week, but their relegation was confirmed weeks ago. They have lost their last seven away games and they failed to score in six of those games with no other team scoring less goals on the road and only Fulham conceding more. They had lost eight games in a row before drawing with United and no other team has scored less goals with only Fulham conceding more.

I can’t see any Huddersfield players to recommend to fantasy managers.

I think Southampton will finish their season on a high with a comfortable win in this game.

Prediction: 2-0

Tottenham Hotspur v Everton

London Stadium, London

Spurs lost 1-0 away to Bournemouth last week after having two players sent off, but other results all but guaranteed they will finish in the top four. They have won six of their last eight home games with only three other teams conceding less goals at home. They have only taken 10 points from their last 11 games, but only the top two teams have conceded less goals.

I’m not sure what the Spurs players will have left after their midweek exertions, but if they can get up for it then Christian Eriksen and Lucas Moura could do well for fantasy managers.

Everton won 2-0 at home to Burnley last week, but they have left it too late to try to finish seventh. They have taken 10 points from their last seven away games and they kept clean sheets in four of those games with only the top two conceding less goals away from home. They have taken 16 points from their last seven games and they have kept eight clean sheets in their last 10 games.

Everton’s defenders and keeper have been very good choices for fantasy managers in recent weeks with Lucas Digne probably the pick of them.

I think Everton might just give Spurs a tough time and possibly even edge a tight game.

Prediction: 1-2

Watford v West Ham United

Vicarage Road, Watford 

Watford lost 3-0 away to Chelsea last week, but they still have an FA Cup Final to look forward to. They haven’t won in their last three home games, but they were unbeaten in five home games before that. They have lost six of their last 10 games and they haven’t kept a clean sheet in 11 games.

I’m not sure if Watford will be up for this game with their FA Cup final possibly playing on their minds, but if they are Gerard Deulofeu and Troy Deeney could do well for fantasy managers.

West Ham won 3-0 at home to Southampton last week and they can still possibly finish in the top half of the table if they win this game. They won their last away game at Spurs, but they had only taken one point from their previous eight away games and they failed to score in six of those games. They have won their last two games without conceding a goal after failing to win the previous four and not keeping a clean sheet in 13.

Marco Arnautovic has come good for fantasy managers in the last couple of weeks and he could be the player to have in this game.

I don’t think there will be too much in this game, but Watford will probably take the three points.

Prediction: 2-1

That’s it for this season.

See you next season.

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