Friday 11 May 2018

Predictions For Premier League Gameweek 38

It’s that time of the week again when I attempt to predict the outcomes of the upcoming Premier League games. I did very badly last week with only five correct predictions and 11 incorrect and the season can't end quickly enough for my predictions at least. Here's a look at how the top five in my predictions league stands with me nowhere in sight as we enter the last week.

NAMETHIS WEEKPOINTS
 1 (1) Dr_AFHMK
7

+10
2615
 2 (3) betojohn 
ioannis papanikos
9

+70
2460
 3 (2) immycader 
Imran Cader
8

-5
2415
 4 (4) ArssenaL14
6

-55
2195
 5 (5) Rutland Gooner
3

-30
2155






Sunday May 13

All games kick off at 3pm BST.

Burnley v Bournemouth 

Burnley lost 5-0 away to Arsenal last week to end their chances of finishing fifth, but they will play in the Europa League next season. They have actually taken more points on the road than they have at home and no other team has scored less goals at home. They haven’t won in four games and they haven’t scored in two with only five teams scoring less goals.

If he’s fit to play Ashley Barnes could do well for fantasy managers in this game and the Burnley defenders and keeper might be worth considering too.

Bournemouth won 1-0 at home to Swansea last week and they’re one of five teams fighting for the last place in the top half of the table. They haven’t won in five away games, but they have only failed to score once in their last eight games on the road. Their win against Swansea was only their second win in 11 games and only three teams have conceded more goals.

I can’t see any Bournemouth players to recommend to fantasy managers.

I don’t think we’ll see too many goals in this game and the chances are Burnley will get a narrow win.

Prediction: 1-0

Crystal Palace v West Bromwich Albion 

Palace came from behind to win at Stoke last week and they can still finish in the top half of the table. They have won their last two home games and scored eight goals in the process, but only four teams have taken less points at home. They have taken 11 points from their last five games and they scored 12 goals in those games with clean sheets in two of their last three games.

Wilfried Zaha could be the Palace player to make a difference for fantasy managers this week.

West Brom won at home to Spurs last week, but Southampton’s midweek win at Swansea meant the relegation trapdoor eventually caught up with them. They won their last two away games without conceding a goal, but no other team has scored less goals on their travels. They have taken 11 points in five games since Darren Moore took temporary charge of the team and they kept clean sheets in three of those games, but only Swansea and Huddersfield have scored less goals.

I’m not too sure there are any West Brom players who will do well for fantasy managers in this game.

I think Palace will give themselves every chance of finishing in the top half of the table by taking the three points in this game.

Prediction: 2-1

Huddersfield Town v Arsenal

Huddersfield got great draws away to City and Chelsea in the last week to guarantee they avoided the drop ahead of this game. They have only scored one goal in their last four home games and no other team has scored less goals at home. They have only won once in theit last nine games and they failed to score in six of those games with only Swansea scoring less goals.

I can’t see any Huddersfield players for fantasy managers to consider this week.

Arsenal thrashed Burnley last week to confirm sixth place, but their away day blues continued in midweek when they lost at Leicester. They have lost their last seven away games with only three teams taking less points away from home. Only City and Liverpool have scored more goals, but they have conceded far too many goals for a team who wanted to challenge for a top four spot.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the Arsenal player to have for fantasy managers and I don’t see that changing in this game.

I think Arsenal will put their dismal away form behind them and see Arsene Wenger off on a relative high with a narrow win in this game.

Prediction: 1-2

Liverpool v Brighton And Hove Albion

Liverpool lost 1-0 at Chelsea as their impending Champions League final weighs heavily on their minds, but they only need a point in this game to make next season’s Champions League. They are the only team unbeaten at home and only United have conceded less goals at home, but they have drawn seven of those home games. They have only won once in their last five games and they failed to score in three of those games, but only City have scored more goals.

If they play Mohamed Salah, Sadio Mane and Roberto Firmino are very good choices for fantasy managers.

Brighton won at home to United last week, but they lost away to City in midweek and they still have an outside chance of a top half finish too. They haven’t won in 12 away games and they failed to score in eight of those games with only Stoke taking less away points and no other team scoring less away goals. They have only won once in their last eight games, but that win was enough to make sure they avoided relegation.

I can’t see any Brighton players to recommend to fantasy managers when they play away from home.

Despite their minds possibly being elsewhere I still think Liverpool will do enough to narrowly win this game.

Prediction: 1-0

Manchester United v Watford

United lost at Brighton last week and could only draw at West Ham in mideeek, but it was enough to confirm second place. Only City and Arsenal have taken more points at home and no other team has conceded less goals on their own patch. They have failed to score in three of their last five games and only City have conceded less goals.

The United defenders and keeper are the best choices for fantasy managers in this game.

Watford won 2-1 at home to Newcastle last week and the right result in this game could see them finish in the top half of the table if other results go their way. They have only taken one point in their last 11 away games and they have failed to score in their last seven on the road. Their win against Newcastle was their first win in eight games and they failed to score in five of those games with only Stoke and West Ham conceding more goals.

I can’t see any Watford players to recommend to fantasy managers in this game.

I think United will win with a couple of goals to spare despite their recent lack of goals.

Prediction: 2-0

Newcastle United v Chelsea 

Newcastle lost at Watford and Spurs in the last week and it’s just as well they secured their Premier League status a few weeks ago. They have only lost once in their last eight home games, but that was their last home game and only five teams have conceded less goals at home, but only two teams have scored less. They have lost their last four games since securing their Premier League status for another season.

If Newcastle can catch Chelsea with their minds on the Cup Final Ayoze Perez and Kenedy could do well for fantasy managers.

Chelsea beat Liverpool last week, but their midweek draw at home to Huddersfield means they’re almost certain to miss out on the top four unless Liverpool lose at home to Brighton. Only three teams have taken more away points than Chelsea and that will be one team if they win this game while only City have conceded less away goals. They have taken 13 points from their last five games, but the nine defeats they suffered have cost them a top four place.

It’s not easy to know which Chelsea players will play in this game and that makes it hard for fantasy managers to choose them.

I think the chances are this game will end with the spoils shared.

Prediction: 1-1

Southampton v Manchester City

Southampton got a draw at Everton last week and followed it up with a hugely important 1-0 win at Swansea to almost guarantee their Premier League survival for another season. Only West Brom have taken less points at home and their win in their last home game against Bournemouth was their first home win in 10 games. They have taken eight points from their last four games to avoid the drop, but it might only be on goal difference in the end.

I can’t see any Southampton players who might do well for fantasy managers in this game.

City could only draw with Huddersfield last week, but their midweek win over Brighton saw them add to the Premier League records they have set this season. They have won their last five away games and a win in this game would see them secure as many points on the road as they have at home while they’re the top scorers as well as having the best defensive record away from home. They have taken 13 points from their last five games and three more points in this game would see them reach the magical 100 point mark.

It’s hard to know what team City will play, but the chances are Gabriel Jesus and Kevin de Bruyne will be in it while Leroy Sane and Raheem probably will too and they’re all great options as long as they play.

With Southampton as good as secure I think City should take the three points to reach the magic 100 mark for the season.

Prediction: 1-3

Tottenham Hotspur v Leicester City 

Spurs lost at West Brom last week, but the midweek win against Newcastle confirmed Champions League qualification for them again this season. They have won six of their last seven home games and they kept clean sheets in each of those wins with only United and Liverpool conceding less goals at home. They have only won twice in their last five games, but a win in this game will see them finish third.

Harry Kane remains the best fantasy option in the Spurs team while Christian Eriksen, Dele Alli and all of their defenders and keeper are good choices for this game too.

Leicester lost at home to West Ham last week, but they managed to finish their home season on a high with a 3-1 win against Arsenal on Wednesday night. Only six teams have taken more points away from home, but they have lost their last two away games and conceded seven goals in the process. They had only taken one point in five games before beating Arsenal, but they could still finish eighth ahead of Everton if they win this game.

Despite beating Arsenal in midweek I can’t see any Leicester players shining for fantasy managers in this game.

I think Spurs will finish their season on a relative high with the win they need to secure third place.

Prediction: 2-0

Swansea City v Stoke City

Swansea lost at Bournemouth last week and then at home to Southampton in midweek and only a miracle can save them from relegation now. Only three teams have taken less points at home than Swansea and only Burnley have scored less goals at home. They’re the lowest scorers in the league and nothing short of a cricket score will give them a chance of catching Southampton.

If Swansea are going to try to do the impossible then Jordan Ayew might just do well for fantasy managers.

Stoke lost 2-1 at home to Palace last week and that defeat saw them relegated to the Championship. They have taken less points away from home than any other team and they haven’t won in their last 13 away games. They haven’t won in 13 games and no other team has conceded more goals while they will finish at the foot of the table unless they win this game.

Xherdan Shaqiri is the only Stoke player to have done well for fantasy managers this season and he could do again in this game before he exits stage left.

I think Swansea will get the win they want, but it will fall far short of being enough to keep them up.

Prediction: 2-1

West Ham United v Everton 

West Ham won away to Leicester last week and got a creditable 0-0 draw at home to United on Thursday night. They have only won once in their last five home games, but they will hope to finish on a high in front of their own fans. They have only won once in their last six games and no other team has conceded more goals, but most importantly of all they managed to avoid relegation.

Marco Arnautovic is the only West Ham player fantasy managers should really consider.

Everton came from behind to get a 1-1 draw at home to Southampton last week and it looks like they will finish eighth unless they lose this game and Leicester win at Spurs. They have taken seven points from their last three away games after only taking eight in the previous 15 with only West Ham and Stoke conceding more away goals. They have taken 15 points in their last eight games and they only need another point to make sure they finish eighth.

Cenk Tosun might be the Everton player most likely to succeed for fantasy managers, but probably not in this game.

I think West Ham will just about manage to take the three points and send their fans home relatively happy for once.

Prediction: 2-1

That’s it for this week.

See you next week.

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