Thursday 18 January 2018

Predictions For Premier League Gameweek 24

It’s that time of the week again when I attempt to predict the outcomes of the upcoming Premier League games. I didn’t do too well last week with two perfect predictions, two correct outcomes and six incorrect outcomes which leaves me still in the lower reaches of my predictions league. Here’s a look at how the top five in that league stands.

NAMETHIS WEEKPOINTS
 1 (1) Dr_AFHMK
6
1670
 2 (2) Midotamimi
4
1555
 3 (3) betojohn 
ioannis papanikos
6
1515
 4 (4) JediKnut
4
1420
 5 (7) Rutland Gooner
2
1350






Saturday January 20

Brighton And Hove Albion v Chelsea 

12.30pm GMT, AMEX Stadium, Brighton 

Brighton lost 2-0 at West Brom last week and they’re sliding quickly towards the wrong end of the table. Only West Brom and Swansea have won less games at home, but they have only lost one of their last 10 games at home and have kept clean sheets in three of their last five games at home. They have only won once in their last 12 games and they failed to score in eight of those games with only Swansea scoring less goals.

I can’t see any Brighton players to recommend to fantasy managers at the moment.

Chelsea could only draw 0-0 at home to Leicester last week and have dropped back to fourth place as a result. Only City have taken more away points and no other team has conceded less away goals, but they have only won once in their last five away games. They have only lost once in their last 15 games with clean sheets in nine of those games and no other team has conceded less goals.

Chelsea’s defenders have done very well for fantasy managers and Marcus Alonso is the best of them, but they’re all worth having.

I think Chelsea should get back to winning ways in this game with a couple of goals to spare.

Prediction: 0-2

Arsenal v Crystal Palace 

3pm GMT, Emirates Stadium, London

Arsenal led at Bournemouth last week, but ended up losing 2-1 and they’re quickly losing touch with the top four. Only the top two have taken more points at home and only City have more home goals, but they have drawn the last two on their own patch. They have only won twice in their last nine games, but they did draw five of those games and they haven’t kept a clean sheet in five games.

With so much turmoil in the Arsenal squad it’s hard to know which of their players to recommend to fantasy managers.

Palace got a very important 1-0 win at home to Burnley last week as they continue to climb away from the bottom three. They have only won two of their 11 away games and only Brighton have scored less away goals, but they are unbeaten in their last five games on the road. Arsenal are the only team to beat them in their last 12 games, but they did draw six of those games and they kept clean sheets in five of them.

I still think Wilfried Zaha can do well for fantasy managers and the Palace defenders have done well recently too, but maybe not in this game.

I think this will be a very tight game, but Arsenal’s ability to score goals at home might just see them triumph.

Prediction: 2-1

Burnley v Manchester United 

3pm GMT, Turf Moor, Burnley

Burnley lost 1-0 at Palace last week and their lack of goals has seen them fall far below the top six. They have lost their last two home games with only Swansea scoring less goals at home and only three other teams conceding less goals at home. They haven’t won in six games and they failed to score in four of those games with only three teams scoring less goals.

I’m not so sure the Burnley defenders who had being doing so well for fantasy managers are still the best choice and certainly not in this game.

United won 3-0 at home to Stoke last week to close the gap to City at the top of the table to only 12 points. Only City have taken more away points than United with only City and Chelsea conceding less away goals and they have taken 13 points in their last five away games. They have only lost once in their last 12 games and they haven’t conceded a goal in their last three with no other team conceding less goals.

United’s defenders are looking very good for fantasy managers at the moment and Paul Pogba isn’t the worst buy either while Jesse Lingard has been in very good form recently.

I think United will continue their fruitless attempt to catch City by taking all three points in this game.

Prediction: 0-2

Everton v West Bromwich Albion

3pm GMT, Goodison Park, Liverpool

Everton were beaten 4-0 at Spurs last week and the upturn their new manager brought has well and truly ended. Only the top six have taken more points at home than Everton and they have failed to score in their last two home games. They haven’t won in five games and they failed to score in four of those games. 

I can’t see any Everton players who might make a difference for fantasy managers at the moment.

West Brom finally managed a victory last week when they won 2-0 at home to Brighton, but they’re still in the bottom three. No other team has won less away games and they haven’t won in 10 games on the road with only Brighton scoring less away goals. Their win last week was their first one in 21 games with only Swansea and Brighton scoring less goals.

I still can’t see any West Brom players to recommend to fantasy managers.

I think this will be a close game and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it end in a draw.

Prediction: 1-1

Leicester City v Watford 

3pm GMT, King Power Stadium, Leicester

Leicester played very well away to Chelsea last week and they were well worth the 0-0 draw they got. They have taken 10 points from their last five games at home, but they have scored more goals away from home than they have at home. They have only one once in their last six games, but they have kept clean sheets in their last two games.

Riyad Mahrez is still the outstanding fantasy option in the Leicester team while Harry Maguire has done very well too.

Watford came from 2-0 down to get a 2-2 at home to Southampton last week even if it was courtesy of a last minute hand ball. After starting off the season very well away from home they have lost six of their last seven on the road. They have only won once in their last 10 games and they lost seven of those games with only Stoke conceding more goals.

Richarlison has been the best fantasy choice in the Watford team so far, but Abdoulaye Doucoure has done very well in recent weeks.

I think Leicester should have enough to get the better of what looks like being a very close game.

Prediction: 2-1

Stoke City v Huddersfield Town

3pm GMT, bet365 Stadium, Stoke

Stoke lost 3-0 away to United last week, but they’re still only one point away from the relative safety of seventeenth place. Only two teams have lost more home games and only Watford have conceded more goals at home. Only Swansea have lost more games while no other team has conceded more goals and they have only taken four points from their last eight games.

I can’t see any Stoke players to recommend to fantasy managers at the moment.

Huddersfield lost 4-1 at home to West Ham last week and they’re now only four points above the bottom three. Only Stoke and Brighton have lost more away games whilst only Stoke and West Ham have conceded more away goals. They haven’t won in their last five games and they conceded seven goals in their last two with only three teams conceding more goals.

Like Stoke I can’t see any Huddersfield players who might interest fantasy managers at the moment.

This is a big game for Stoke in particular and I think they might just about take the three points.

Prediction: 2-1

West Ham United v Bournemouth 

3pm GMT, London Stadium, London

West Ham won 4-1 away to Huddersfield last week and that win moved them five points clear of the relegation zone. They have only lost once in their last five home games, but only four other teams have scored less goals at home. They have only lost once in their last eight games and they scored 15 goals in their last six games with only two teams conceding more goals.

I suggested both Marco Arnautovic and Manuel Lanzini might do well for fantasy managers last week and I wish I had taken my own advice.

Bournemouth came from behind to win 2-1 at home to Arsenal last week and moved four points above the bottom three. They have only won two of their 11 away games and haven’t won in the last five on the road with only three other teams scoring less goals away from home. They are unbeaten in four games with nine goals scored in those games, but they haven’t kept a clean sheet in 10 games.

Despite their win against Arsenal last week I still don’t think there are any Bournemouth players fantasy managers should spend their money on.

I think West Ham will continue to climb the table by winning this game.

Prediction: 3-0

Manchester City v Newcastle United 

5.30pm GMT, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

City lost their first league game of the season when they went down 4-3 at Liverpool last week, but they’re still 12 points clear of second placed United. They have won 10 of their 11 home games and no other team has scored more goals at home with only United and Liverpool conceding less goals at home. They have won 20 of their 23 games and they have scored more goals than any other team with only United and Chelsea conceding less.

Raheem Sterling, Kevin de Bruyne and Sergio Aguero all look like very good fantasy choices  while the rest of the City team aren’t too far behind them.

Newcastle came from behind to get a 1-1 draw at home to Swansea last week and they kept themselves three points above the bottom three. They have taken almost as many points away from home as at home and they have won their last two away games. They have taken eight points from their last five games and they kept clean sheets in two of their last three.

I can’t see any Newcastle players to interest fantasy managers at the moment.

I can’t see anything other than a comprehensive City win in this game.

Prediction: 4-0

Sunday January 21

Southampton v Tottenham Hotspur

4pm GMT, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Southampton led 2-0 at Watford last week, but they had to settle for a draw after a controversial late goal for the home team and they’re only a point above the relegation zone. Only two teams have lost more home games and they haven’t won in their last four at home with only four other teams conceding more goals on their own patch. They haven’t won in 10 games and they have only kept one clean sheet in their last 14 games.

Like so many other teams at the moment I can’t see any Southampton players to recommend to fantasy managers.

Spurs strolled to a 4-0 win at home to Everton last week, but they still find themselves in fifth place. They have won their last two away games without conceding a goal after taking only one point from the previous five. They have taken 13 points from their last five games and they scored 15 goals in those games.

Harry Kane and Heung-Min Son are must haves for fantasy managers at the moment while Christian Eriksen and Dele Alli are doing pretty well too.

I think Spurs should continue to put pressure on the teams above them by winning this game by at least two goals.

Prediction: 1-3

Monday January 22

Swansea v Liverpool 

8pm GMT, Liberty Stadium, Swansea

Swansea led at Newcastle last week, but they had to settle for a point and they’re still propping up the rest of the table. No other team has taken less points or scored less goals at home and they have failed to score in four of their last six games at home. They have lost four of their last seven games and they failed to score in three of those games with no other team scoring less goals.

I can’t see any Swansea players who might make a difference for fantasy managers at the moment.

Liverpool put an end to City’s unbeaten start to the season last week and they are targeting second placed United. They have taken 16 points from their last six away games and scored 21 goals in those games with no other team scoring more away goals, but only four other teams conceding more on the road. They are unbeaten in 14 games and they won 10 of those games with only City scoring more goals.

Mohamed Salah is still by far the best fantasy choice in the Liverpool team while both Roberto Firmino and Sadio Mane are good options too.

Prediction: 0-3

That’s it for this week.

See you next week.

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