Thursday 11 January 2018

Predictions For Premier League Gameweek 23

It’s that time of the week again when I attempt to predict the outcomes of the upcoming Premier League games. I did reasonably well last week with two perfect predictions, four correct outcomes and five incorrect which moved me up another few places in my predictions league. I'm still nowhere near the top of that league though and here's a look at how the top five in that league stands.

 1 (1) Dr_AFHMK
6
1650
 2 (2) Midotamimi
4
1565
 3 (4) betojohn
ioannis papanikos
5
1440
 4 (3) JediKnut
4
1410
 5 (5) Wild Things
4
1340










Saturday January 13

Chelsea v Leicester City

3pm GMT, Stamford Bridge, London 

Chelsea came from behind to lead 2-1 at Arsenal in their last game, but they had to settle for a draw in the end and dropped back to third place as a result. They have won their last seven home games and kept clean sheets in five of those games with only Liverpool and United conceding less goals at home.Since losing to Palace they have taken 33 points from 14 games, but they just can't close the gap on runaway leaders City who are the only team to have conceded less goals.

With Chelsea’s attacking players struggling for fantasy managers their defenders are still very good bets and Marcus Alonso is the best of them.

Leicester won 3-0 at home to Huddersfield in their last game, but they’re nine points off the top six. They lost their last two away games after going unbeaten in the previous seven on the road and only six teams have taken more points away from home. Their win against Huddersfield was their first win in five games and they're nine points behind their goal of a top six place.

Riyad Mahrez is by far the best option in the Leicester team for fantasy managers while Harry Maguire has done well too and Jamie Vardy is a possibility if he’s passed fit to play.

I don’t think Leicester will give Chelsea an easy run, but Chelsea should win with a couple of goals to spare.

Prediction: 2-0

Crystal Palace v Burnley 

3pm GMT, Selhurst Park, London

Palace came from behind to win 2-1 at Southampton in their last game to continue their climb up the table. They have only lost once in their last eight home games, but they did draw four of those games and only Stoke and Watford have conceded more goals at home. They have only lost once in their last 11 games and they look likely to avoid the drop despite being only two points above the bottom three. 

Wilfried Zaha is the Palace player to have for fantasy managers at the moment.

Burnley lost 2-1 at home to Liverpool in their last game as they continue to lose ground on the top six. Only the top five teams have taken more points away from home with only City and Chelsea conceding less goals on their travels. They haven't won in five games and they failed to score in three of those games too, but only the top three teams have conceded less goals.

Burnley’s defenders and goalkeeper have all done very well for fantasy managers and each squad should have at least one of them in it.

I think this will be a very close game and a draw is probably the most likely outcome.

Prediction: 1-1

Huddersfield Town v West Ham United 

3pm GMT, John Smith’s Stadium, Huddersfield 

Huddersfield lost 3-0 at Leicester in their last game, but they’re still comfortably in mid-table.They haven't won in their last three games at home and only three teams have scored less goals on their own ground. They haven't won in their last four games and have failed to score in the last two with only three teams scoring less goals and only three teams conceding more.

I can’t see any Huddersfield players who might make a difference for fantasy managers at the moment.

West Ham got a very good point away to Spurs in their last game to move two points above the relegation zone and they very nearly took all three. They have only won once in 12 away games, but they are unbeaten in their last three on the road and only Stoke have conceded more away goals. They have taken 12 points from their last seven games and they're the top scorers in the bottom half of the table, but only Stoke have conceded more goals.

Marco Arnautovic (if he’s fit) and Manuel Lanzini might be a good bet for fantasy managers at the moment and their defenders have done well recently too, but it’s probably best to avoid West Ham players.

I think this will be another very close game and the chances are it will end in a draw too.

Prediction: 1-1

Newcastle United v Swansea City

3pm GMT, St. James’s Park, Newcastle 

Newcastle won 1-0 in a relegation three pointer at Stoke in their last game to move out of the bottom three. They have only taken one point from their last six home games and they failed to score in five of those games with only Swansea scoring less goals at home. They have taken seven points from their last four games to move out of the bottom three and they even managed to keep clean sheets in their last two games.

I can’t see any Newcastle players to recommend to fantasy managers at the moment.

Swansea lost 2-0 at Spurs in their last game and they’re still at the foot of the table with four points to make up on seventeenth place. They won their last away game at Watford, but they had lost their previous seven and only three other teams have taken less points on the road. They have lost more games and scored less goals than any other team with 10 defeats in their last 14 games.

I can’t see any Swansea players to recommend to fantasy managers either despite the performances of Lukasz Fabianski in goal for them.

This is another relegation three pointer which is huge for both clubs and I think Newcastle will just about shade it.

Prediction: 2-1

Watford v Southampton 

3pm GMT, Vicarage Rosd, Watford 

Watford lost 3-1 away to City in their last game and they’re still in the top half of the table, but only just. They have lost three of their last five home games with no other team conceding more goals on their own patch. They have lost six of their last seven games with only Stoke conceding more goals so far despite Watford being in the top half of the table.

Richarlison and Abdoulaye Doucoure are both still reasonably priced options for fantasy managers who perform well regularly.

Southampton led at home to Palace in their last game, but ended up losing 2-1 and they’re only above the bottom three on goal difference. Only the bottom two clubs have taken less points away from home and they haven't won in their last eight games on the road. Only West Brom have won less games and they have only won once in their last 13 games.

I can’t see any Southampton to recommend to fantasy managers at the moment.

This isn’t an easy game to predict, but I think it will more than likely end with the spoils shared.

Prediction: 2-2

West Bromwich Albion v Brighton and Hove Albion 

3pm GMT, The Hawthorns, Birmingham 

West Brom led away to fellow strugglers West Ham in their last game, but ended up losing 2-1 and they're only off the foot of the table on goal difference. They haven't won in their last 10 home games, but they did draw seven of those games and only three other teams have scored less goals at home. It's been 20 games since their last league win, but they have drawn half of those games and only Swansea have scored less goals.

I can't see any West Brom players who might be of interest to fantasy managers.

Brighton drew 2-2 at home to Bournemouth in their last game and they're still three points above the bottom three. No other team has lost more games away from home while they have taken only one point and scored no goals in their last five games on the road. They have only won once in their last 11 games and they failed to score in seven of those games with only the bottom two clubs scoring less goals.

I can't see any Brighton players either to interest fantasy managers.

I can't too many goals in this game, but I have a feeling West Brom might just taste the sweet flavour of victory for the first time since August. 

Prediction: 1-0

Tottenham Hotspur v Everton 

5.30pm GMT, Wembley, London 

Spurs drew 1-1 at home to West Ham in their last game and they lost a little ground on the top four as a result. They are unbeaten in 10 games at home and have won six of the last eight on their own patch. They have taken 16 points from their last seven games and have kept clean sheets in three of those games and a win in this game could move them back into the top four if Liverpool lose to City.

Harry Kane is still the must have Spurs player for fantasy managers with Heung-Min Son, Christian Eriksen and Dele Alli all doing very well too.

Everton lost 2-0 at home to United in their last game and their recent revival seems to have come to a halt. They have only won once in their 11 away games and only four other teams have conceded more goals away from home. They have only taken two points from their last four games and they failed to score in three of those games.

Wayne Rooney has been the best of the Everton players for fantasy managers with their defenders doing well recently too and much is expected of new boy Cenk Tosuin, but maybe not in this game. 

I think Spurs should be too strong for Everton and should win by at least two or three goals.

Prediction: 3-0

Sunday January 14

Bournemouth v Arsenal 

1.30pm GMT, Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth 

Bournemouth drew 2-2 at Brighton last time out and that point keeps them one point above the bottom three. Only Swansea and Newcastle have lost more home games while only three other teams have conceded more goals at home. They are unbeaten in three games, but they hadn't won in their previous seven. 

I can’t see any Bournemouth players who might make a difference for fantasy managers at the moment.

Arsenal led at home to Chelsea in their last game, but they had to come from behind to get a 2-2 draw and they lost more ground on the top four. They are unbeaten in five away games, but they did draw three of those games and have only won three of their 11 away games. They are unbeaten in seven games, but they drew five of those games and they need to turn those draws into wins very quickly.

Alexis Sanchez looks like he’s found some form for fantasy managers (as long as he isn’t sold) while Mesut Ozil has done well recently too.

I can’t see either team keeping a clean sheet in this game and the chances are Arsenal will outscore Everton.

Prediction: 1-3

Liverpool v Manchester City

4pm GMT, Anfield, Liverpool 

Liverpool came from behind to win 2-1 at hone to Burnley in their last game and those three points strengthened their grip on a top four spot. They're one of only two teams unbeaten at home, but they have drawn five of their 11 home games and they have conceded less home goals than any other team. They're unbeaten in 13 games with clean sheets in six of those games and only City have scored more goals.

Mohamed Salah is by far the best fantasy option in the Liverpool team with Phillippe Coutinho having departed while Roberto Firmino isn't a bad option either.

City had a comfortable 3-1 win at home to Watford in their last game to maintain their 15 point lead with only 16 games left to play and it would take a brave person to bet against them winning the title in record time. They drew their last away game at Palace, but they are the only points they have dropped away from home so far and they have conceded less goals on their travels than any other team with only Liverpool scoring more. They have won 20 of their 22 games while scoring more and conceding less goals than any other team and it's surely just a matter of how many records they break on the way to the league title.

Raheem Sterling still looks like the best option in the City team for fantasy managers while Sergio Aguero might not be a bad choice either with Gabriel de Jesus injured and Kevin de Bruyne, David Silva, Leroy Sane and Nicolas Ottamendi are all good choices too.

Liverpool are one of the few teams who can hope to inflict City's first defeat on them,. but I think City will prevail in the end of this game.

Prediction: 1-3

Monday January 15

Manchester United v Stoke City

8pm GMT, Old Trafford, Manchester 

United won 2-0 away to Everton in their last game and that win moved them above Chelsea into second place, but they're 15 points behind City. Only City have taken more points at home with only City and Arsenal scoring more goals at home and only Liverpool conceding less. They have drawn three of their last four games and kept clean sheets in the last two with only City conceding less goals.

Jesse Lingard is the United player in form for fantasy managers at the moment while Paul Pogba and their defenders and keeper should be considered too.

Stoke lost at home to Newcastle in their last game and that defeat moved them into the relegation zone on goal difference. They have only taken two points from their last six away games and no other team has taken less points or conceded more goals away from home. They have only taken four points from their last seven games and they conceded 17 goals in those games with no other team conceding more goals.

I can't see any Stoke players who might make a difference for fantasy managers at the moment.

I think United should win this game fairly comfortably.

Prediction: 3-0

That’s it for this week.

See you next week.

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