Friday 3 November 2017

Predictions For Premier League Gameweek 11

It's that time of the week again when I attempt to predict the outcomes of the upcoming Premier League games. I had my first good week last week at long last with one perfect prediction, seven correct outcomes and only two incorrect. That moved me up a little in my Predictions League, but I'm still nowhere near the pacesetters. Here's a look at how the top five of that league stands.

POSITIONPLAYER NAMETHIS WEEKPOINTS
 1 (1) JediKnut
3
785
 2 (3) Dr_AFHMK
3
740
 3 (2) immycader
Imran Cader
2
730
 4 (5) Wild Things
3
710
 5 (5) Brisbane City FC
4
680









Saturday November 4

Stoke City v Leicester City

12.30pm GMT, bet365 Stadium, Stoke

Stoke put a much needed end to a poor run of results last week with a 1-0 win at Watford. They have lost as many games as they have won at home with only Everton and Watford conceding more home goals. Their win at Watford moved them three points clear of the bottom three, but it was only their second clean sheet of the season and only Palace have conceded more goals.

Despite their win last week I still don't see any Stoke players to recommend to fantasy managers.

Leicester won 2-0 at home to Everton on Sunday to move them away from the wrong end of the table. They have only won once in five away games and they have only one clean sheet in those five games. They have taken eight points and kept two clean sheets in their last four games.

If Leicester's fortunes are improving then Riyad Maheez, Jamie Vardy and Harry Maguire can all make a decent contribution for fantasy managers.

I think this will be a very close game and a draw is the most likely outcome.

Prediction: 1-1

Huddersfield v West Bromwich Albion

3pm GMT, John Smith's Stadium, Huddersfield 

Huddersfield played reasonably well last week, but ended up losing 3-0 at Liverpool. They have only lost one of their five home games, but only Burnley and Bournemouth have scored less goals at home.  Their only win in their last eight games was against United and they failed to score in six of those games too.

I still can't see any Huddersfield players who might make a difference for fantasy managers. 

West Brom managed to score two goals at home to City last week, but it wasn't enough as they lost 3-2. They have lost three of their five away games with only Palace and Everton scoring less goals on their travels. They haven't won in eight games and they failed to score in three of those games too

None of the West Brom players have done much recently for fantasy managers, but their keeper and defenders could profit from this game.

I think this will be a low scoring close game with West Brom probably getting the only goal.

Prediction: 0-1

Newcastle United v Bournemouth 

3pm GMT, St. James' Park, Newcastle 

Newcastle lost 1-0 at Burnley on Monday night, but they're still in a fairly secure mid-table place despite their lack of goals. They have taken 10 points from their five home games and only four teams have conceded less goals at home. They have only won once in their last five games and they have failed to score in four of their 10 games so far.

Newcastle's defenders have done well at times with Rob Elliot and Jamaal Lascelles worth considering for fantasy managers while Matt Richie can do well too.

Bournemouth lost 1-0 at home to Chelsea last week and the longer they remain in the bottom three the tougher it will be for them to turn their season around. They have lost four of their five away games with only Palace and Everton scoring less goals away from home. They have only won once in their last five games and have failed to score in six games of their 10 so far with only Palace scoring less goals.

I can't see any Bournemouth players to remotely interest fantasy managers at the moment.

This is another game where goals could be at a premium and I think Newcastle should just about take the three points.

Prediction: 1-0

Southampton v Burnley

3pm GMT, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton 

Southampton couldn't hold on to their early lead at Brighton last week and they had to settle for a point in the end. They have only won once in their last four home games and have failed to score in three of their six games at home. They're unbeaten in three games, but they have failed to score in four of their 10 games and they're still struggling for goals.

I still think Southampton's defenders and keeper are the best bet in their team for fantasy managers as they're still not scoring enough goals.

Burnley beat Newcastle 1-0 on Monday night to continue their excellent start to the season, but they might have trouble holding on to their manager as a result of their relative success. Their only away defeat so far was at City after they took points at Chelsea, Spurs and Liverpool. They have only lost one of their last eight games and they kept clean sheets in four of those games, but they also struggle to score goals.

Burnley's defenders and goalkeeper are all doing well for fantasy managers with Stephen Ward the pick of them.

Like so many other games at the moment I think this will be another low scoring affair and it might just end with the honours even.

Prediction: 1-1

Swansea City v Brighton And Hove Albion

3pm GMT, Liberty Stadium, Swansea

Swansea led at Arsenal at half time last week, but ended up losing 2-1 to increase their worries at the wrong end of the table. They have lost four of their five home games with only Burnley and Bournemouth scoring less goals at home. They have only taken four points in their last seven games and they failed to score in three of them with only the bottom two clubs scoring less goals.

Tammy Abraham continues to impress for fantasy managers and he's still available at a very good price.

Brighton came from behind to get a 1-1 draw at home to Southampton last week which kept them safely in mid-table. They have lost three of their five away games and they failed to score in those three games too. After a slow start they have taken 11 points from their last seven games and they only failed to score in one of those seven games.

Pascal Gross is most definitely the Brighton player to have for fantasy managers as he continues to impress.

Swansea could do with all three points in this game, but I think they will have to settle for just one.

Prediction: 1-1

West Ham United v Liverpool

5.30pm GMT, London Stadium, London

West Ham looked to have taken three badly needed points at Palace last week, but they were denied with the last kick of the ball. They have won as many games as they have lost at home, but they were beaten too easily in their last home game by Brighton. They have only won once in their last six games and only three other teams have conceded more goals.

Andre Ayew has impressed in recent weeks and he might just be a good option for fantasy managers.

Liverpool made hard work of taking the lead at home to Huddersfield last week, but they ended up winning 3-0. They have only won once in five away games and no other team has conceded more goals on the road. Their win last week was only their second win in seven games and they are conceding far too many goals for a team pushing for a top four place.

Mohamed Salah is the outstanding player in the Liverpool team for fantasy managers at the moment with some of the other best options injured.

I think West Ham will make life tough for Liverpool, but the three points will just about go Liverpool's way.

Prediction: 1-2

Sunday November 5

Tottenham Hotspur v Crystal Palace

12.00pm GMT, Wembley, London

Spurs were probably a little unlucky to lose 1-0 at United last week, but they bounced back with a 3-1 win against Real Madrid in the Champions League on Wednesday night. They have already dropped more points at home than they did in all of last season, but they have won their last two at home. Only the top two have scored more and conceded less goals than Spurs and they have kept a clean sheet in half of their 10 games. They have taken four points from their last three games after losing their first seven, but they have scored less and conceded more goals than any other team.

Harry Kane is a must have for fantasy managers while Christian Eriksen, Dele Ali and all of the Spurs defenders are very good choices too.

Palace got a very late point at home to West Ham last week, but they're still firmly rooted to the foot of the table. They have lost all five of their away games without scoring a goal with only Liverpool and West Ham conceding more away goals.

Wilfried Zaha got Palace's all important equaliser last week and he's the only Palace player worth considering for fantasy managers.

I can't see anything other than a comprehensive Spurs win in this game.

Prediction: 3-1

Manchester City v Arsenal

2.15pm GMT, Etihad Stadium, Manchester 

City conceded two goals at West Brom last week, but their incredible firepower meant they took all three points. They have taken 13 points from their five home games and they're the top scorers at home with only three other teams conceding less goals on their own ground.

David Silva, Leroy Sane, Raheem Sterling and Kevin de Bruyne are the best fantasy options in the City team for me because they rotate their strikers so much while the City defenders have done well too especially Nicolas Otamendi. They have won nine of their 10 games and they're the top scorers as well as keeping six clean sheets.

Arsenal came from behind to win 2-1 at home to Swansea last week, but they're still struggling for consistency. They have lost three of their five away games and they failed to score in three of those five games too. They have taken 16 points in their last seven games and kept clean sheets in four of them.

Aaron Ramsey and Sead Kolasinac have done well in recent weeks for fantasy managers while Alexis Sanchez, Mesut Ozil and Alexandre Lacazette are all good options too.

City are huge favourites to win this game, but the Arsenal fan in me always predicts an Arsenal win no matter how unlikely that might be.

Prediction: 1-2

Chelsea v Manchester United

4.30pm GMT, Stamford Bridge, London

Chelsea won 1-0 at Bournemouth last week, but they had a game to forget against Roma on Tuesday night. They have already dropped more points at home than they did in all of last season and they have struggled for goals at home in comparison to all they goals they managed last season. They won their last two games after losing the previous two and they have kept four clean sheets in their 10 games, but they're already nine points behind City.

Eden Hazard and Alvaro Morato look like the best options for fantasy managers in the Chelsea team at the moment.

United won 1-0 at home to Spurs last week to keep City's lead at the top of the table at five points. They have only lost one of their five away games with only four teams conceding less goals on their travels. Their win last week put an end to a run of two games without a win and no other team has conceded less goals with eight clean sheets in their 10 games.

United's defenders have done very well for fantasy managers while Romelu Lukaku is still a good bet despite his current dry spell.

This is a game both teams badly need three points in, but I think they will both be disappointed when it ends in a draw.

Prediction: 1-1

Everton v Watford

4.30pm BST, Goodison Park, Liverpool 

Everton lost 2-0 at Leicester last week and they went out of the Europa League on Thursday night with two group games still to play. They have lost three of their five home games with only Watford conceding more goals at home. They have taken one point and conceded nine goals in their last four games with only Palace conceding more goals and only the bottom two scoring less.

I can't see any Everton players to recommend to fantasy managers at the moment.

Watford lost 1-0 at home to Stoke last week, but they have been at their best on their travels this season. They have taken 10 points from five away games with only City and Spurs scoring more goals away from home. Despite their relatively high league position only four teams have conceded more goals and only the top six have scored more.

Richarlison and Abdoulaye Doucoute have both done very well at good prices for fantasy managers so far.

Everton need a win to restart their season, but I think they will have to wait longer for it with Watford taking the three points in this game.

Prediction: 1-2

That's it for today.

See you tomorrow.

2 comments:

  1. Its about time MC lose. This is the epl and not the German/Spanish league
    wher BM/Barcelona/RM are the perpetual winners. It makes the league
    uncompetitive and the result is a99.99% forgone conclusion.
    I just hope Arsenal can put a spanner in the MC . All good things and
    unbeaten run must come to an end.Otherwise why bother watching soccer
    when the result is a predictable.
    One more thing. The man in black has to be watched. You never know.
    A penalty could be awarded agaist Arsenal even though the foul is outside the
    box and the gunners not getting one despite the blatant foul.

    ReplyDelete
  2. If Wenger plays like RM against Spurs,Arsenal will lose.Simple logic.
    By the time Arsenal get to MC goal mouth,they will be facing 8/9 defenders.
    A swift through ball and the MC player will be clean through and will in
    all probability score.
    It has happened because the gunners are/were too slow in their counter like RM.

    ReplyDelete