Thursday, 9 March 2017

Predictions For Premier League Gameweek 28

It's that time of the week again when I attempt to predict the outcomes of the upcoming Premier League games. I didn't do too well last week with no perfect predictions, five correct outcomes and six incorrect which actually moved me into second place in my predictions league. However, the league leader did a lot better and I lost ground despite moving up as you can see from the table below.

It's a tough week for fantasy managers to field a full team with only eight teams playing and a lot of them are going to have a pretty poor week. There are plenty of teams who will have games in hand after this week and some of their players will be at a premium from here on in.

BadgesThis WeekPTS
 1 (1)  Karl-Yngve Lund 4+651740
 2 (3)  Michael Sheehy 501515
 3 (2)  Rutland Gooner 5-551465
 4 (4)  Wayne Hubbard 1-51460

Saturday March 11

Bournemouth v West Ham United

3pm GMT, Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

Bournemouth managed to get a point at United despite being down to 10 men for more than half of the game. They have won five of their 13 home games and Leicester are the only team in the bottom half of the table to have scored more home goals. They have only taken three points from their last eight games, but they're the top scorers in the bottom half of the table even if only Swansea and Hull have conceded more.

Josh King has done quite well recently for fantasy managers and is certainly a good option at a good price too.

West Ham only lost 2-1 at home to Chelsea on Monday night, but their late goal made the game look closer than it was. They have only won four of their 13 away games, but only three other teams have scored more goals away from home. They have taken eleven points from their last seven games and most of them came away from home.

Michail Antonio is still the best fantasy pick in the West Ham team and Andy Carroll isn't too bad either if he's fit.

This has the makings of a close affair and I think West Ham might just sneak the three points.

Prediction: 1-2

Everton v West Bromwich Albion

3pm GMT, Goodison Park, Liverpool

Everton lost 3-2 to at Spurs last week to put an end to their good run and they were never really in the game. They have only lost one of their 13 home games with only three other teams scoring more goals at home and only the top two conceding less at home. They have taken 21 points in their last 10 games and only the top five have scored more goals.

Romelu Lukaku is the best fantasy option in the Everton team with their defenders good choices too despite conceding three goals last week.

West Brom lost 2-0 at home to Palace last week much to my surprise and just about everyone else too. They have only won three of their 13 away games while only five other teams have scored less goals on their travels and only five other teams have conceded less. The defeat last week was their first one in six games and they're still as close to seventh place Everton as the teams below them are to them.

Gareth McAuley is the best fantasy option in the West Brom team and I still think Chris Brunt is good value too.

I think Everton should be good enough at home to take the three points in this game.

Prediction: 2-0

Hull City v Swansea City

3pm GMT, KCOM Stadium, Hull

Hull went ahead at Leicester last week, but ended up losing 3-1 and they're still in the bottom three. They have only lost five of their 13 home games and have taken eight points from their last four games. They have only taken one point in their last three games with only Swansea conceding more goals so far and only Boro scoring less.

Hull players are exactiy setting the fantasy world alight at the moment, but Kamil Grosicki might not be the worst choice for fantasy managers.

Swansea left it late at home to Burnley last week, but the three points moved them five points above the relegation zone. They have lost nine of their 13 away games with only Bournemouth and Hull conceding more goals on their travels. They have won four of their last six games and scored 12 goals in those games with no other team conceding more goals so far.

Gylfi Siggurdsen is still the best fantasy bet in the Swansea team while Fernando Llorente, Martin Olsson and Alfie Mawson have all looked good recently too.

I think this game could go either way and the chances are the spoils will be shared.

Prediction: 2-2

Sunday March 12

Liverpool v Burnley

4pm GMT, Anfield, Liverpool

Liverpool had a very good win at home to Arsenal last week to move back up to fourth in the table. They have only lost one of their 13 home games with only Chelsea scoring more goals at home and only four other teams conceding less. They have only won two of their last eight games, but they are the top scorers so far with Stoke the only team in the top half of the table to have conceded more goals.

Sadio Mane is by far the best fantasy option in the Liverpool team while Roberto Frimino has done a bit better recently too.

Burnley looked to have got a rather fortunate point at Swansea last week, but were beaten at the very end. They have lost 11 of their 13 away games with only Hull scoring less goals on their travels. They have only taken two points in their last four games and their next two games are away from home too, but their nine point gap to the bottom three should be enough to keep them safe.

Burnley defenders have done very well for fantasy managers, but only when they're at home.

I think Liverpool should win this game by at least a couple of goals.

Prediction: 3-1

That's it for this week.

See you next week.

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