Thursday, 24 November 2016

Predictions For Premier League Gameweek 13

It's that time of the week again when I attempt to predict the outcomes of the upcoming Premier League games. I didn't do too well last week with one perfect outcome, four correct outcomes and five incorrect. Yet again others struggled too and I actually increased my lead at the top of my predictions league as you can see from the table below.

NameBadgesThis WeekPTS
 1 (1)  Michael Sheehy 4+10720
 2 (2)  Rutland Gooner 3-25655
 3 (3)  Karl-Yngve Lund 2+20605
 4 (4)  Wayne Hubbard +40540
 5 (5) sensisoccerworld 10460


 
Saturday November 26

Burnley v Manchester City

12.30pm GMT, Turf Moor, Burnley

Burnley were well and truly beaten by West Brom on Monday night, but they're still in a relatively healthy position in the table. Only Chelsea have won more home games than Burnley and no other team in the bottom half of the table has scored more goals at home. They have failed to score in half of their games so far though with only Boro and Hull scoring less goals.

Tom Heaton and the Burnley defenders have done well for fantasy managers in their home games in particular.

City got a very good win away to Palace last week for only their second win in six games. They have won more away games and scored more away goals than any other team with only Arsenal and Spurs conceding less goals on the road. They are unbeaten in five games since losing to Spurs, but they have drawn three of those games and only Liverpool have scored more goals than City.

Sergio Aguero and Kevin de Bruyne are the best options in the City team for fantasy managers.

Despite Burnley's pretty good home record I think City will take the three points in this game.

Prediction: 1-3

Hull City v West Bromwich Albion

3pm GMT, KCOM Stadium, Hull

Hull lost 3-0 away to Sunderland last week and they're still in the bottom three. No other team has lost more home games than Hull and they're the lowest scorers at home too with only the two teams below them conceding more goals at home. They have lost seven of their last eight games and failed to score in four of those games with no other team conceding more or scoring less goals than Hull.

If any of the Hull players are going to make a difference for fantasy managers then Robert Snodgrass is the player to do it.

West Brom got a very good 4-0 win at home to Burnley on Monday night to move into the top half of the table. They have taken as many points on the road as they have at home with only Arsenal and Spurs conceding less goals on their travels. They won their last two games after failing to win any of the previous five and half of their 16 goals came in just two of their 12 games.

Nacer Chadli is the best of the West Brom players for fantasy managers when he's fit while Matt Phillips seems to be coming good too and their defenders haven't been too bad either.

I think West Brom might just be good enough to win by the odd goal in this game.

Prediction: 1-2

Leicester City v Middlesbrough 

3pm GMT, KC Stadium, Leicester 

Leicester were beaten yet again last week when they went down 2-1 at Watford. They have only lost once in their six home games and only Chelsea have conceded less goals on their own patch. They have only won once in their last seven league games and find themselves only two points above the relegation zone despite having already qualified for the last 16 of the Champions League.

None of the Leicester defenders have exactiy set the world alight for fantasy managers this season, but their defenders haven't done too badly at home.

Boro lost 1-0 at home to Chelsea last week to put an end to their recent revival. They have only lost one of their six away games, but they have drawn four of them with only Arsenal and Spurs conceding less goals away from home. They have only won once in their last 10 games and failed to score in four of those games with no other team scoring less goals than Boro.

I still don't think there are any Boro players to interest fantasy managers although their defenders have done well in recent weeks.

With a place in the last 16 of the Champions League secured surely Leicester will get back to winning ways in the league in this game.

Prediction: 1-0

Liverpool v Sunderland 

3pm GMT, Anfield, Liverpool

Liverpool drew 0-0 away to Southampton last week and they surrendered top place in the league to Chelsea as a result. They are one of the four teams still unbeaten at home with only Chelsea scoring more and conceding less goals at home. They have taken 24 points in their last 10 games and they're the top scorers in the league even if they have conceded more goals than the rest of the top four.

Phillippe Coutinho and Roberto Frimino are doing really well for fantasy managers while Sadio Mane and Adam Lallana haven't done too badly either.

Sunderland got a really important 3-0 win at home to Hull last week to climb off the foot of the table. They have only won once in their six away games with four defeats and only Burnley have scored less goals away from home. They have won their last two games after failing to win in their first 10 games, but they will face a huge task trying to get anything from this game.

Jermain Defoe continues to impress for fantasy managers and who knows where Sunderland would be without him.

I can't see anything other than a comprehensive Liverpool win in this game.

Prediction: 4-1

Swansea City v Crystal Palace 

3pm GMT, Liberty Stadium, Swansea

Swansea looked like they were going to get their first win since the opening day last week, but Everton hit back with a very late equaliser. They're the only team without a home win with no other team scoring less goals at home and only Sunderland conceding more at home. They haven't won in 11 games and only Hull and Boro have scored less goals than Swansea.

Gylfi Sigurdsson is still by far the best fantasy option in the Swansea team.

Palace lost at home to City last week and they're only a point above the relegation zone. They have taken more points away from home than at home and only five other teams have won more games away from home. They have lost their last five games and conceded 13 goals in the process and they are the only team without a clean sheet in their opening 12 games.

Christian Benteke and James McArthur haven't done too badly for fantasy managers, but on current form it might be best to avoid Palace players.

Both teams could do with a win in this game, but I think the chances are it will end with the honours even.

Prediction: 1-1

Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur 

5.30pm GMT, Stamford Bridge, London

Chelsea got the better of Boro in a dull game last week to move to the top of the table. They have won more games, scored more and conceded less goals at home than any other team. They have won their last six league games in a row without conceding a goal and they scored 17 goals in the process.

Eden Hazard, Diego Costa and all of the Chelsea defenders look like must haves for fantasy managers at the moment.

Spurs came from behind to beat West Ham last week with two very late goals. They are one of only two teams unbeaten away from home, but they have drawn four of their six away games and no other team has conceded less goals on the road. They are the only unbeaten team in the league, but they have drawn half of their games and went out of the Champions League in midweek before they had even played all of their group games.

Harry Kane looks to be back to his best for Spurs while Dele Alli and the Spurs defenders are pretty good bets too.

This is a very big game for both clubs and I think Chelsea will just about get the better of a very close affair.

Prediction: 2-1

Sunday November 27

Watford v Stoke City

12pm GMT, Vicarage Road, Watford 

Watford won 2-1 at home to the champions last week to put the thrashing by Liverpool in their previous game behind them. They have taken 10 points from their six home games, but no other team in the top 12 has conceded more goals at home. They have taken 17 points from their last nine games, but only five teams have conceded less goals than them.

Troy Deeney looks like the best long term fantasy choice in the Watford team while Etienne Capoue has done well too.

Stoke were on a good run until they lost 1-0 at home to Bournemouth last week. They have only won once in their six away games, but only six other teams have conceded less goals on their travels. Before losing to Bournemouth last week they had gone six games unbeaten, but they are still scoring too few goals for their own good.

Marco Arnautovic is probably the best long term fantasy choice in the Stoke team even if Joe Allen has done very well so far.

I think this will be a very close game and I wouldn't be surprised to see the spoils shared.

Prediction: 1-1

Arsenal v Bournemouth 

2.15pm GMT, Emirates Stadium, London

Arsenal left it late last week, but they managed to snatch a point away to United. They have only won half of their six home games and only two teams in the top 12 have conceded more goals at home. They are unbeaten in 11 league games, but they have only won once in their last four games and have struggled to create chances recently.

Alexis Sanchez still looks like the best fantasy bet in the Arsenal team and their defenders have done pretty well too while Olivier Giroud could be worth a punt if he can get a game.

Bournemouth got a very good 1-0 win away to Stoke last week to put an end to a poor run of results. That win at Stoke was their first away win of the season with only Burnley scoring less goals away from home. The win last week was their first in four games and they have lost more games than any other team in the top half of the table.

Bournemouth's defenders have done pretty well for fantasy managers and they're available at a pretty good price too.

Arsenal might not be at their best at the moment, but I still think they will take the three points in this game.

Prediction: 3-1

Manchester United v West Ham United

4.30pm GMT, Old Trafford, Manchester 

United looked to have beaten Arsenal last week, but they were pegged back late on and had to settle for a 1-1 draw. They have only won two of their six home games and no other team in the top half of the table has scored less goals at home. They have only won once in their last six games and have only scored five goals in those games.

I still can't see any United players setting the fantasy world alight, but their defenders haven't done too badly.

West Ham looked to have taken the three points at Spurs last week when they led in the last minute, but they ended up taking nothing from the game. No other team has lost more away games than West Ham with only Leicester and Hull conceding more goals on their travels. They have taken only one point in their last three games and are only one point above the bottom three with only Hull having conceded more goals.

Dimitri Payet still looks like the best fantasy option in the West Ham team and Michail Antonio seems to have found some form again too.

I think United will get the better of a close game.

Prediction: 2-1

Southampton v Everton

4.30pm GMT, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton 

Southampton put up a good defensive performance to draw 0-0 at home to Liverpool last week. They have only lost one of their six home games with only three other teams scoring less goals on their own patch. They haven't won in their last four games and have failed to score in three of their last six games , but only three other teams have conceded less goals than them.

Charlie Austin and Nathan Redmond have done reasonably well for fantasy managers while the Southampton defenders haven't done too badly either.

Everton drew at home to Swansea last week and they're a long way from their impressive start to the season. They have lost three of their six away games and have conceded more goals than they have scored on their travels. They have only won once in their last seven games and have only scored six goals in those games.

If Everton can rediscover some form Romelu Lukaku is their player most likely to do well for fantasy managers.

I think Southampton will be good enough at home to take the three points in this game.

Prediction: 2-0

That's it for this week.

See you next week.

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