Thursday 12 May 2016

Predictions For Premier League Gameweek 38

It's that time of the week again when I attempt to predict the outcomes of the upcoming Premier League games. I didn't do too well last week with only two perfect outcomes, five correct outcomes and seven incorrect. I managed to increase my lead at the top of my predictions league though as others struggled too and it looks like I have it wrapped up barring a complete disaster this week as you can see from the table below.

BadgesThis WeekPTS
 1 (1)  Michael Sheehy 4+351405
 2 (2)  Wayne Hubbard 5-101105
 3 (3) sensisoccerworld 3+701070
 4 (4)  Rutland Gooner 6+551030
 5 (5)  samoz 8+951015


 
Sunday May 15

All Games Kick Off At 3pm BST

Arsenal v Aston Villa

Emirstes Stadium, London

Arsenal drew 2-2 away to City last week and they're guaranteed a top four finish before this game. Only City and Leicester have won more home games than Arsenal and only United have conceded less goals at home. They are unbeaten in nine games and have five clean sheets in those games, but the five draws in those games have cost them any chance of winning the title.

Alexis Sanchez is the Arsenal player most likely to perform for fantasy managers with all of their defenders looking pretty good too.

Villa managed a 0-0 draw at home to Newcastle last week to at least end a run of 11 consecutive defeats. They have only won once in their 18 away games and that was on the opening day of the season and only Newcastle have scored less away goals. That point last week was their first one in 12 games and they conceded 32 goals in those 11 defeats.

I can't see any Villa players to interest fantasy managers. 

I can't see anything other than a comprehensive Arsenal win in this game.

Prediction: 3-0

Chelsea v Leicester City

Stamford Bridge, London

Chelsea lost at Sunderland and drew at Liverpool in the last week after leading both games. Only Villa have won less home games than Chelsea and only four other teams have conceded more goals at home. They have only won once in their last six games, but they must surely want to beat the team who have taken their league title.

Chelsea players have been a let down for fantasy managers for the most part this season, but maybe Diego Costa or Eden Hazard might have a point to prove against the new champions.

Leicester celebrated lifting the Premier League trophy last week by beating Everton 3-1. They have won more away games than any other team with only Arsenal and Spurs scoring more goals on the road. They are unbeaten in their last 11 games and have kept clean sheets in seven of those games.

Jamie Vardy could be the Leicester player to have for fantasy managers as he looks to finish the season as the top scorer in the league.

I think this will be a very close game and it might just end in a draw.

Prediction: 2-2

Everton v Norwich City

Goodison Park, Liverpool

Everton lost away to Leicester and Sunderland in the last week as their miserable end to their season continued. Only Villa have won less home games than Everton with only Villa and Bournemouth conceding more goals on their own patch. They have only won once in their last 10 games and have only one clean sheet in their last 12.

It would take a brave fantasy manager to pick an Everton player right now.

Norwich lost at home to United last week and their fate was sealed with Sunderland winning both of their games despite Norwich beating Watford on Wednesday night. Only Villa and Newcastle have lost more away games than Norwich with only Newcastle scoring less away goals. The three points against Watford were their first points in five games and they failed to score in the other four games.

I can't see any Norwich players who might make a difference for fantasy managers.

With nothing to play for in this game it's not easy to see how it will go, but I think Everton might get a rare home victory.

Prediction: 2-1

Manchester United v Bournemouth 

Old Trafford, Manchester 

United lost away to West Ham on Wednesday night and their hopes of a top four finish are now very slim. Only Leicester and City have won more home games than United and no other team has conceded less goals at home. That defeat to West Ham was only their second one in eight games and they had five clean sheets in those eight games.

United's defenders have been very good for fantasy managers in home games this season.

Bournemouth came from behind to get a point at home to West Brom last week. They have taken more points away from home than at home and no other team in the bottom half of the table has won more games on the road. They have only won once in their last seven games and haven't kept a clean sheet in their last nine games.

I can't see any Bournemouth players to recommend to fantasy managers this week.

United need to win to try to catch City in fourth place and I think they will do so by a couple of goals.

Prediction: 2-0

Newcastle United v Tottenham Hotspur

St. James' Park, Newcastle 

Newcastle couldn't win away to Villa last week and that result cost them their Premier League place when Sunderland won both of their games. Only one other team in the bottom half of the table has taken more home points than Newcastle and only one team in the bottom half has scored more goals at home too. Their nine points and three clean sheets in their last five games weren't enough to keep them up.

With nothing but pride left to play for I can't see any Newcastle players setting the fantasy world alight.

Spurs lost at home to Southampton last week and they need a point from this gave to guarantee second place. Only Leicester have won more away games than Spurs and only Arsenal have scored more away goals than them. They haven't won in their last three games or kept a clean sheet in any of them either which is why they're fighting for second place rather than the top spot.

Harry Kane and Christian Eriksen are the Spurs players most likely to perform for fantasy managers as their defence has slipped up in recent weeks.

Spurs only need a point and Newcastle having nothing to play which leads me to believe the spoils will be shared.

Prediction: 1-1

Southampton v Crystal Palace

St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton 

Southampton won away to Spurs last week and they can still finish as high as fifth. They have won 10 of their 18 home games and only City have scored more goals at home. They have taken 13 points and scored 14 goals in their last five games, but they haven't kept a clean sheet in their last 11 games.

Sadio Mane, Dusan Tadic and Shane Long have all done very well for fantasy managers recently and at home in particular.

Palace came from behind to win at home to Stoke last week with a few players trying to make an impression before their FA Cup final against United. They have taken as many points and scored as many goals on the road as they have at home. That win last week was only their second one in 20 games and they only scored 15 goals in those games.

I still can't see any Palace players to recommend to fantasy managers.

I think Southampton will put pressure on those above them, as they try to finish as high as fifth, by winning this game by a couple of goals.

Prediction: 3-1

Stoke City v West Ham United

Britannia Stadium, Stoke

Stoke lost away to Palace last week after leading 1-0 and the season can't end quickly enough for them. They have lost more home games and scored less home goals than any other team in the top half of the table. They have only taken two points from their last six games and they conceded 17 goals in those games.

Marco Arnautovic has been the Stoke player most likely to perform for fantasy managers.

West Ham were well beaten at home to Swansea last week, but they bounced back to win the last ever game at Upton Park against United on Tuesday night. Only the top two have lost less away games than West Ham and only the top three have scored more away goals. They have only lost once in their last 12 games and they scored 26 goals in those games.

Dimitri Payet is still the West Ham player to have for fantasy managers.

I think West Ham should be good enough to get the better of s Stoke team who have finished the season badly.

Prediction: 1-2

Swansea City v Manchester City

Liberty Stadium, Swansea

Swansea had a very good 4-1 win away to high flying West Ham last week. Only the top seven teams have won more home games than Swansea with only five other teams conceding less goals at home. They have taken 13 points in their last seven games and a win in this game could see them finish in the top half of the table.

With Gylfi Siggurdson rested last week Andre Ayew was back to his best and he could do well in this game.

City could only draw at home to Arsenal last week and it looks like fourth place is the best they can do now. They have only won seven of their 18 away games, but only the top two have conceded less away goals. They have only taken one point from their last two games and they conceded six goals in those two games, but avoiding defeat in this game will see City finish in the top four.

Seegio Aguero is always the City player most likely to perform for fantasy managers.

City only need a draw to finish fourth and I think they will just about manage it.

Prediction: 1-1

Watford v Sunderland 

Vicarage Road, Watford 

Watford were beaten 2-0 away to a second string Liverpool team last week and lost 4-2 at Norwich on Wednesday night as their struggles in the second half of the season continued. Only Villa have scored less goals at home than Watford, but only three other teams have conceded less goals at home. They have only won twice in their last 11 games and they failed to score in five of those games.

I can't see any Watford players who might make a difference for fantasy managers this week.

Sunderland won at home to both Chelsea and Everton in the last week to come out on top in the race to beat the drop. They have only won three of their 18 away games with only Newcastle conceding more goals on the road. They have taken 11 points from their last five games and kept there clean sheets in the process.

Jermain Defoe and Patrick van Aanholt are the Sunderland players most likely to do something for fantasy managers. 

Neither team has anything to play for in this game and it's hard to call, but I think Sunderland might just get the better of the game.

Prediction: 1-2

West Bromwich Albion v Liverpool

The Hawthorns, Birmingham

West Brom drew away to Bournemouth last week and they're another team who will be glad when the season is over. Only three other teams have lost more home goals than West Brom with only Villa and Watford scoring less goals at home. They haven't won in their last eight games and they only scored three goals in those games.

I can't see any West Brom players to recommend to fantasy managers.

Liverpool won at hone to Watford and drew at home to Chelsea in the last week, but their thoughts will be on their Europa League final next Wednesday. Only the top two have won more away games than Liverpool, but they have also lost seven of their 18 away games. They have only lost twice in their last 12 games and they scored 30 goals in those game.

It's hard to predict which players will play for Liverpool with a cup final only three days after this game.

Even with a second string team I think Liverpool can take a point from this game.

Prediction: 1-1

That's it for this week.

See you next season.

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