Thursday, 18 September 2014

Predictions For Premier League Gameweek Five

It's that time of the week when I attempt to predict the outcomes of the upcoming Premier League games. I didn't do too badly last week with with six correct outcomes and four incorrect which saw me move up to second place in my predictions league. It's not too late to join my predictions league and you can do so here with the code FD20D-AVD after you have made your predictions. Here's a look at how that league stands at the moment.

PositionPlayer NamePTSTWBB
Up 1 (2)goonerdhanesh235+1250
Up 2 (3)Michael Sheehy155+700
Up 3 (4)Daytona125+450
Down 3 (1)sensisoccerworld12500
Up 5 (10)Abu K70+850
Up 5 (7)sodobo70+600

Saturday September 20

Queens Park Rangers v Stoke City

12.45pm BST, Loftus Road, London

QPR were abject in their 4-0 defeat at United last week and have only scored one goal in their four games so far. Luckily for them that goal was enough to get them three points at home to Sunderland and it looks like their best chance of getting points is in those home games. If they are to stay up they will have to do better than the two 4-0 away defeats they have to their name already. 

I can't see any QPR players worth considering for fantasy managers.

Stoke undid their good work of the previous week by losing at home to Leicester last week in a game they dominated. They have taken all four of their points so far this season away from home which is unusual for a team who don't always travel too well. They're still having problems scoring goals though and need to improve their goals per game ratio if they're going to finish as high as they managed last season.

Ryan Shawcross and Erik Pieters look like reasonable choices for fantasy managers.

I think Stoke should be good enough to go to a poor QPR team and take the three points

Prediction: 0-1

Aston Villa v Arsenal

3pm BST, Villa Park, Birmingham 

Villa have had a great start to the season with 10 points from their four games and only one goal conceded in those games. They have only scored four goals in those games though and their current second place is built on that defensive strength. They set themselves up to play on the break and will think that's an ideal way to play against Arsenal.

All of the Villa defenders look good at the moment along with Andreas Weimann and Gabriel Agbonlahor.

Arsenal are unbeaten in the league but they have only one once in their four games. They have conceded from the first shot on target against them in each of those games and just cannot seen to put teams away when they are on top. They had a very good away record last season and need to rediscover that form this season. 

Aaron Ramsey and Alexis Sanchez are both looking very good at the moment and running up plenty of fantasy points.

Villa will make things very difficult for Arsenal, but I think Arsenal are good enough to win the game.

Prediction: 1-2

Burnley v Sunderland

3pm BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

Burnley have only taken two points in their opening four games, but they have only conceded one goal in the last three games. Their problem is scoring goals and they have only managed one so far which came in the first half of their first game. Despite their strength and organisation at the back they're not going to stay up if they can't win games.

The Burnley defenders such as Michael Duff and Tom Heaton have done very well so far at a good price for fantasy managers.

Sunderland haven't won a game yet, but they have at least managed to draw three of their four games. They haven't kept a clean sheet either, but they will fancy their chances of shutting Burnley out in this game. They need a win to get their season going and climb the table and this game offers a very good chane to do just that.

Seb Larsson has been the most impressive Sunderland player so far this season.

I think this is going to be a very close game and will probably end in a draw.

Prediction: 0-0

Newcastle United v Hull City

3pm BST, St. Jame's Park, Newcastle 

Newcastle find themselves at the foot of the table on goal difference after conceding seven goals in their last two games. The manner of their 4-0 defeat away to Southampton last week was very worrying for their fans who are becoming very restless. The pressure on Alan Pardew is mounting and he won't be in the job much longer if they don't climb the table quickly.

I can't see any Newcastle players to recommend to fantasy managers at the moment.

Hull played very well in a good game against West Ham on Monday night which ended in a 2-2 draw. They have only won once in their opening four games, but they have only lost once too and find themselves sitting in mid table. They did struggle on the road last season, but their only win so far was away from home and they will fancy their chances against a struggling Newcastle team.

Allan McGregor again looks like the Hull player most likely to do the business for fantasy managers this season.

I think Hull will give Newcastle a tough time but the game might just end in a draw.

Prediction: 1-1

Swansea City v Southampton 

3pm BST, Liberty Stadium, Swansea

Swansea lost their 100% record when they lost 4-2 away to Chelsea last week, but they played quite well in a good game. They have won both of their home games so far without conceding a goal and will prove a handful for any team on their own ground. They struggled last season with midweek European games, but they will have no such worries this season.

Gylfi Sigurdsson, Nathan Dyer plus most of the Swansea defenders are pretty good fantasy bets now that they have Chelsea out of the way.

Southampton lost their opening game away to Liverpool despite playing well, but they have taken seven points in their three games since then. They have only conceded one goal in those three games and scored seven with the team showing few signs of missing the players who left in the transfer window. Ronald Koeman has brought in some good players of his own and seems to have the team playing every bit as well as they did last season.

I recommended Graziano Pelle last week and he did very well to show he is a good choice for fantasy managers along with their defenders.

This could be a very good game and I think it might end with the spoils shared.

Prediction: 1-1

West Ham United v Liverpool

5.30pm BST, Upton Park, London

West Ham got a point at Hull on Monday night and played quite well too. They have fared better away from home so far and have lost both of their home games. The will surely look to put Liverpool under pressure after Liverpool had to play a European game in midweek.

Stewart Downing has been the best fantasy performer in the West Ham team so far and Mauro Zarate hasn't looked too bad either.

Liverpool have lost two of their four league games and ae struggling without the departed Luis Suarez and injured Daniel Sturridge. They brought in a lot of players in the summer and they are certainly a few problems gelling them together. They can't afford to take too long to do so though or they will fall even further behind the pace setters.

Raheem Sterling looks like the Liverpool player most likely to succeed for fantasy managers at the moment while Steven Gerrard always does well.

This won't be an easy game for Liverpool, but I think they will win it by the odd goal. 

Prediction: 1–2

Sunday September 21 

Leicester City v Manchester United

1.30pm BST, King Power Stadium, Leicester

Leicester got a very good win away to Stoke last week and the only game they have lost so far was away to Chelsea. They have adapted the best so far of the three promoted clubs and are a good bet to avoid the drop. They haven't won a home game yet though with two draws to their name and it won't be easy for them to get that win in this game.

Leonardo Ulloa has been the best performer for Leicester with three goals in their four games.

United finally got their first win under their new manager last week with a fairly easy stroll at home to QPR. They haven't done too well with a relatively easy start to the season and this will be a tough test for them. With the array of talent they have they must to be favourites to win and their performance will be a pointer towards how they are progressing under Luis van Gaal.

It looks like Wayne Rooney, Angel Di Maria and Robin van Persie could be the United players to have, but then there's Juan Mata, Radamel Falcao (when he gets a game) and their defenders to consider too.

Leicester have been impressive so far, but I think they could struggle against free spending United.

Prediction: 1-3

Tottenham Hotspur v West Bromwich Albion

1.30pm BST, White Hart Lane, London

Spurs have been up and down with seven points in their first four games and had a long journey back from Belgrade on Thursday night. They tend to do well against the Premier League's lesser clubs and West Brom certainly fit into that category this season. After resting most of their first choice players on Thursday Spurs should have plenty to throw at West Brom.

Nasir Chadli is in fine form at the moment while Christian Eriksen and Emmanuel Adebayor have to be considered too along with their defenders against the league's lesser sides.

West Brom don't look in good shape and could find themselves in for another difficult afternoon. They are having problems scoring goals and their defence isn't doing too well either. It looks like a long battle against relegation for them and it's one they might not win.

I don't think there are any West Brom players for fantasy managers to get excited about.

I can't see anything other than a Spurs victory in this game.

Prediction: 2-0

Everton v Crystal Palace

4pm BST, Goodison Park, Liverpool

Everton got their first win of the season away to West Brom last week and will fancy their chances at home to another struggling club. They played a strong team against Wolfsburg on Thursday night and could find themselves a little fatigued. They have conceded eight goals in their two home games, but Palace won't be as formidable as Chelsea or Arsenal.

Steven Naismith has had a good start to the season for Everton while Romelu Lukaku, Kevin Mirallas, Seamus Coleman and Leighton Baines are all good long term prospects.

Palace are one of five sides who haven't registered a league win yet with just two points from their first four games. They just about managed to keep a clean sheet at home to Burnley last week, but couldn't find the net themselves. They will have to be at their very best to have any chance of getting something from this game and even then it might not be enough.

Jason Puncheon has looked pretty good for Palace so far with the obvious exception of the red card he picked up against Arsenal.

Everton got their first league win last week and they should make it two in a row in this game.

Prediction: 3-1

Manchester City v Chelsea

4pm BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

City could only get a point at Arsenal last week and find themselves five points behind Chelsea after only four games. They haven't won in their last three games including the Champions League defeat on Wednesday night and they need to get something from this game. A defeat would be a huge blow to them and it would leave them eight points behind Chelsea after only five games.

Sergio Aguero is looking good at the moment and David Silva is always a good bet for fantasy managers.

Chelsea have won all four of their league games so far and been very impressive going forward in each of those games. They haven't been as strong at the back as usual after letting in six goals in those games, but the 15 goals they have scored have more than made up for it. Last season they parked the bus in big away games and the question is will they do it again this season.

Diego Costa and Cesc Fabregas are must haves for fantasy managers while Eden Hazard and Branislav Ivanovic look pretty good too.

I think this has the makings of a very good game and a draw is probably the most likely outcome.

Prediction: 2-2

That's it for this week.

See you next week.

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