Friday, 4 April 2014

Predictions For Premier League Gameweek 33

It's that time of the week again when I attempt to predict the outcomes of the upcoming Premier League games. I didn't do too badly last week with six correct outcomes and four incorrect, but I'm still seventh in my predictions league. Here's a look at how the top 10 in that league stands.

PositionPlayer NamePTSTWBB
NC 1 (1)  Karl-Yngve Lund2130+12520
NC 2 (2)  Wayne Hubbard2030+500
NC 3 (3)  MickTheGooner1990+750
NC 4 (4)  Abu K1960+16020
NC 5 (5)  KildareGunner1885+1405
NC 6 (6)  Paul Kingston1760+12020
NC 7 (7)  Michael Sheehy1640+7520
NC 8 (8)  goonerdhanesh1505+7015
NC 9 (9)  Sulabh121000
NC 10 (10)  Gaurav Ahuja88500

Saturday April 5

Manchester City v Southampton 

12.45pm BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

City could only draw at Arsenal last week and they're now four points behind Liverpool with two games in hand and eight games left to play. They have won 13 of their 14 home games and five of those last eight games are at home. They are the joint highest scorers at home and no other team has conceded less goals at home than City.

With two games in hand City players are at a premium for fantasy managers and Yaya Toure, David Silva and Pablo Zabaleta still look like the best bets to me with Sergio Aguero to be added to that list when he returns from injury.

Southampton have won three of their last four games and have proved a match for most teams with an attractive brand of football this season. They have won six and lost six of their 16 away games, but it will be a huge task for them to get anything out of this game. They're up to eighth after beating Newcastle last week, but it looks like they won't climb any higher.

Adam Lallana, Jay Rodriguez and Rickie Lambert have all performed very well for fantasy managers this season.

I think Southampton will have a go but City will prove to be too strong for them.

Prediction: 3-1

Aston Villa v Fulham

3pm BST, Villa Park, Birmingham 

Villa looked good a couple of weeks ago but they have lost their last two games and conceded eight goals in the process. They're eight points clear of the relegation zone with seven games left and a win in this game would almost guarantee their safety. A defeat would leave them in a vulnerable position though and only Fulham have lost more home games than Villa.

With Christian Benteke's season over through injury it's hard to see any Villa players to recommend to fantasy managers.

Fulham played well at home to Everton last week, but their defensive frailty saw them lose yet again. They have only taken five points from their last 12 games and haven't won away since the turn of the year. They have lost 11 of their 16 away games and are quickly running out of time to save their Premier League status.

I can't see any Fulham players lighting the world up for fantasy managers.

I think Villa have to be good enough at home to beat the bottom club in the league.

Prediction: 3-1

Cardiff City v Crystal Palace

3pm BST, Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

Cardiff did really well to come from behind and take a point at West Brom last week, but they need wins instead of draws at this stage. They have another chance to climb the table this week at home to one of the teams they will hope they can catch. They have scored 10 goals in their last four games, but conceded 12 and only Fulham have conceded more at home or overall.

Jordan Mutch and Steven Caulker have done very well in recent weeks and might not be a bad purchase for fantasy managers.

Palace had a great win at home to Chelsea last week which saw them move five points clear of the bottom three. They have only taken eight points from their 15 away games though and they are by far the lowest scorers away from home with only six goals. They have only taken one point and scored one goal in their last six away games.

Palace's defenders have done very well in their home games, but they have struggled away from home.

I think this will be a really close game and might just end in a narrow Cardiff victory. 

Prediction: 2-1

Hull City v Swansea City

3pm BST, KC Stadium, Hull

Hull are seven points clear of the relegation zone, but they have lost four of their last five games. They have an FA Cup semi final next week and are favourites to reach the final, but they still need a couple of wins in their last six league games to insure their safety. They won their last home game to stop a run of five home games without a win and another home win would be the ideal build up to their semi final.

Hull players haven't really pushed the fantasy boat out in recent weeks in particular.

Swansea are level on points with Hull after winning for the first time in seven games last week. They have only won three of their 16 away games and haven't won on the road since beating Fulham in November. With six games left to play they should be able to get the points they need to keep them up.

Wilfried Bony has been the most consistent fantasy performer in the Swansea team this season.

I think this will be a very close game and might just end in a draw.

Prediction: 1-1

Newcastle United v Manchester United

3pm BST, St. James Park, Newcastle 

Newcastle have failed to score in 10 of their last 14 games and they lost nine of those games. They're safely in the top half of the table but they have lost five of their last seven home games. The second half of their season has been very disappointing after the sale of Yohan Cabaye and with Loric Remy missing a lot of games through injury and suspension.

If Remy is fit to play he's the only Newcastle player fantasy managers should be interested in.

United have taken more away points than any other team so far this season with only Liverpool and City scoring more away goals. This game is sandwiched between the two legs of their Champions League quarter final and it's an unnecessary distraction for them. The only way they can qualify for next season's competition is by winning it this season and they might have to rest players in this game to do so.

If United play a full strength team Wayne Rooney is the player to have for fantasy managers.

Even if United play a weakened side I still think they will win this game.

Prediction: 0-2

Norwich City v West Bromwich Albion

3pm BST, Carrow Road, Norwich

Norwich have taken 12 points in their last six home games and kept clean sheets in five of them. They're six points clear of the relegation zone, but they need to take points in this game and their next game away to Fulham as their last four games are all very tough fixtures. Only Palace and Sunderland have scored less home goals than Norwich, but crucially only Chelsea, City and Arsenal have conceded less at home than them.

Norwich defenders are a good bet at home for fantasy managers and Robert Snodgrass has done well in recent weeks too.

West Brom have only won once in their last 11 games and dropped two crucial points at home to Cardiff last week. They have only won two of their 15 away games but they have drawn a lot of games which has kept them just above the relegation zone. They are three points clear of the bottom three at the moment with some tough games to go and their Premier League safety is by no means certain.

I can't see any West Brom players to recommend to fantasy managers at the moment.

I think Norwich's home form might just be enough to see them take the three points and edge closer to safety.

Prediction: 2-0

Chelsea v Stoke City

5.30pm BST, Stamford Bridge, London

Chelsea have lost two of their last three league games and they're two points behind Liverpool with six games left to play. Both of those defeats were away from home though and they have won 14 of their 16 home games. No other team has conceded less goals at home either and they have kept a clean sheet in their last five home games.

Eden Hazard and John Terry are still the best fantasy choices in the Chelsea team and all of their defenders should be considered when they are at home.

Stoke have taken 13 points in their last five games to move safely into the top half of the table. They have only won two of their 16 away games though with only Fulham, Cardiff and Norwich conceding more away goals than Stoke. They might just fancy their chances of getting something from this game though with Chelsea's minds possibly on the second leg of their Champions League quarter final on Tuesday.

Peter Odemwingie would seem to be the in form Stoke player with three goals in his last four games, but he will do well to get anything from a tight Chelsea defence.

I think Stoke will give it a go but Chelsea will be too strong for them at home.

Prediction: 2-0

Sunday April 6

Everton v Arsenal

1.30pm BST, Goodison Park, Liverpool

Everton have won their last five league games in a row to move to within four points of Arsenal with a game in hand on them. They have only lost one of their 15 home games and have won their last six home games. A win in this game would give them a real chance of finishing in the top four and qualifying for next season's Champions League.

Romelu Lukaku, Seamus Coleman and Leighton Baines are the Everton players performing best for fantasy managers with Kevin Mirallas well worth considering too.

Arsenal have only won three of their last 10 league games and have dropped out of the title race as a result. They have won nine of their 16 away games though and only Liverpool, City and United have scored more away goals than Arsenal. This is a game they can't afford to lose to stay ahead in the race for fourth place.

Arsenal players haven't done too well in recent weeks, but Lukas Podolski might be the player to have in their team at the moment.

This promises to be a very tight game and I think Arsenal might just have enough to squeeze a narrow victory.

Prediction: 1-2

West Ham United v Liverpool

4pm BST, Upton Park, London

West Ham have won six of their last nine games to move 11 points clear of the bottom three. They have won four of their last five home games and can give any team problems on their day. They will do all they can to give the league leaders a run for their money.

Andy Carroll and Mohamed Diame have done well in recent games for fantasy managers.

Liverpool have won eight games in a row and scored 30 goals in the process to go top of the league. They have only lost four of their 16 away games and they're the highest scorers away from home with 40 goals. They hold their fate in their own hands with home games against City and Chelsea to come and could win their first league title in 24 years.

Luis Suarez continues to be the outstanding player for fantasy managers with Daniel Sturridge and Steven Gerrard well worth having too.

Liverpool are on fire at the moment and should be good enough to win this game.

Prediction: 1-3

Monday April 7

Tottenham Hotspur v Sunderland 

8pm BST, White Hart Lane, London

Spurs have won three of their last four games and failed to score in each of those defeats. They have only won eight of their 15 home games and have a fight on to hold on to sixth place. Their last six games are all winnable though and six wins in those games would see them pushing for fifth place.

Christian Eriksen is the only Spurs player to have performed well recently and even then all of his fantasy points came in the one game.

Sunderland have only taken one point in their last six games and are four points away from safety with eight games left. They have games in hand on the teams above them, but they need to start winning games now before it's too late. They have only lost eight of their 15 away games, but their lack of goals has been a stumbling block at home and away.

Vito Mannone and Adam Johnson are the best fantasy choices in the Sunderland team despite Johnson not starting the last two games.

I think Spurs should be good enough to win this game despite their poor recent form.

Prediction: 2-1

That's it for this week.

See you next week.

1 comment:

  1. This is an awesome post. The predictions were really very good. It helps us to increase our football related knowledge.Thanks for sharing this article.
    premier league live