Thursday, 21 November 2013

Predictions For Premier League Gameweek 12

It's that time of the week again when I attempt to predict the outcomes of the upcoming Premier League games. There were a few unexpected results last week and I didn't do too well with no perfect scorelines, four correct outcomes and six incorrect outcomes. It meant I dropped down to ninth in my predictions league, but I didn't lose any ground on the leaders as they all fared badly too. Here's a look at how the top 10 in my predictions league stands.

Pos.    Player.                        Week.     Total

1.          Paul Kingston                     -20             895

2.          Wayne Hubbard                   0              795

3.          KildareGunner                    -30             770

4.          Sulabh                                -5              745

5.          Abu K                                -50             715

6.          Karl-Yngve Lund                -20             675

7.          MickTheGooner                  50             635

8.          Gaurav Ahuja                      10             625

9.          Michael Sheehy                 -20             575

10.        goonerdhanesh.                -40             545

Saturday November 23

Everton v Liverpool

12.45pm GMT, Goodison Park, Liverpool

Everton are unbeaten at home so far, but they have struggled to score goals at home with only six goals in five games. They have a good defensive record at home though and a win would put them level on points with Liverpool. In recent years Everton haven't won too many local derbies and that will want to put that right for their fans.

Romelu Lukaku hasn't scored in his last two games but he's still a very good fantasy choice along with any of the Everton defenders who have kept clean sheets in their last three games.

Liverpool bounced back from their defeat against Arsenal to win their last game 4-0 at home to Fulham. Luis Suarez is on fire at the moment and his goals have helped put Liverpool second in the table. If they're going to continue to have the better of Merseyside derbies he will probably be the man to get the goals for them.

Besides Suarez both Daniel Sturridge and Steven Gerrard are both good fantasy buys at the moment.

I think this could be a very close game and will more than likely end in a draw.

Prediction: 1-1

Arsenal v Southampton 

3pm GMT, Emirates Stadium, London 

Arsenal had their lead at the top of the table cut to two points when they lost their last game away to United and Southampton will provide another very tough challenge for them. Arsenal have won their last four home games in a row though and scored 10 goals in the process. Only City have scored more goals than Arsenal and if they're going to be taken seriously they need to be winning games like this.

Aaron Ramsey is in fine form for Arsenal with Mesut Ozil and Olivier Giroud worth considering too. If Theo Walcott is back from injury he could be worth a shot too.

Southampton are third in the table and have only conceded three goals in five away games. Their high pressure game has reaped rewards for them so far with a win at Liverpool and a draw at United already to their name. They will look to put Arsenal under pressure from first minute to last and if they can do that they have a chance of getting something from this game. 

With such a good defensive record Artur Boruc, Jose Fonte and Dejan Lovren are all good options and Adam Lallana and Rickie Lambert are in good form at the moment too.

This could be a very close game but I think Arsenal's class should be enough to see them take the three points.

Prediction: 2-1

Fulham v Swansea City

3pm GMT, Craven Cottage, London

Fulham have lost their last three games and conceded nine goals in the process. They have only won once in five home games and have slipped back into the relegation zone. It could be a long hard season for them, but they will feel they have a chance of getting something from this game.

I can't see any Fulham players to recommend to fantasy managers.

Swansea have won two of their five away games, but there hasn't been many goals by either side in those games. They haven't been able to put a decent run together yet and their European excursions are probably influencing that. They're only two points above the relegation zone and need a couple of good results to put them in a safer position.

With Miguel Michu injured Wilfried Bony could be the Swansea player to benefit for fantasy managers.

I think this game has a draw written all over it.

Prediction: 1-1

Hull City v Crystal Palace

3pm GMT, KC Stadium, Hull

Hull have taken 11 points from their five home games and only conceded one goal in the process. They are a very hard team to break down at home but have found goals a little difficult to come by. They will relish a chance to get another win with a home game against the bottom club.

If they're fit to play Robbie Brady and Allan McGregor are good fantasy choices at home in particular and Curtis Davies is not a bad choice at home either.

Palace have lost all of their away games so far and no team has scored less goals away from home than them. They're already six points away from safety but they got a good point at home to Everton in their last game. Relegation seems a certainty for them and it's making the job of finding a new manager a very tough one for them.

I can't see any Palace players worth considering for fantasy managers.

I think Hull should have more than enough to win at home to Palace.

Prediction: 1-0

Newcastle United v Norwich City

3pm GMT, St. James' Park, Newcastle 

Newcastle were beaten 4-0 in their first game by City, but they have actually taken more points than City since then. In their last two games they have beaten Spurs and Chelsea and kept clean sheets in both games. If they can continue their current form they could end up having a very good season.

Loric Remy is in fine form with seven goals in his last seven games and will be expected to do well in this game.

Norwich have lost four of their five away games and conceded more goals away from home than any other team. They did manage to come from behind to win their last game at home to West Ham and it was a badly needed win. They have only scored two goals away from home in five games though and will do very well to get anything out of this game.

Maybe the goals scored by Gary Hopper and Robert Snodgrass in their last game will be what those players need to kick start their season.

I think Newcastle should be good enough to win this game by a couple of goals.

Prediction: 2-0

Stoke City v Sunderland

3pm GMT, Britannia Stadium, Stoke

Stoke have only won one of their five home games and have scored less goals at home than any other team. They had managed only four goals in their first eight games but have scored six in their last three games. If they can find a bit of their famed defensive stability they will surely be able to move up the table.

Asmir Begovic and Erik Pieters have done well up to now with Peter Crouch possibly worth considering if Stoke have actually found their shooting boots.

Sunderland had a great win in their last game at home to City and have now won two of their last three games. They have only taken one point away from home so far though and no other team has scored less goals away from home. A win in this game would put them level on points with Stoke and would be a huge boost to their survival hopes.

It's still not easy to see any Sunderland players to recommend to fantasy managers but that may change as Gus Poyet's influence grows.

I think this will be a very close and tense affair and might just end in a draw.

Prediction: 1-1

West Ham United v Chelsea

5.30pm GMT, Upton Park, London

West Ham have only won once at home in five games and have only taken two points in their last four games. They're only outside the relegation zone on goal difference and have had no fit strikers for most of the season so far. On top of that their defenders are now succumbing to injuries too and they look like they might struggle.

West Ham defenders have done well so far but usually in away games and Ravel Morrisson is definitely a player to consider for fantasy managers.

Chelsea have only won one of their five away games and only scored four goals away from home. They still look far from the finished article away from home despite the host of top class players they have. If they're going to challenge for the title they will have to improve significantly away from home.

John Terry, Eden Hazard and Oscar would still seem to be the best fantasy bets in the Chelsea team.

This could be another very close game but I think Chelsea might just edge it.

Prediction: 1-2

Sunday November 24

Manchester City v Tottenham Hotspur 

1.30pm GMT, Etihad Stadium, Manchester 

City are the only team with a 100% record at home and have scored 20 goals in their five home games. Only Hull have conceded less goals than them at home, but they find themselves eighth in the table because of their poor away record. If they're going to keep pace with the leaders they have to do better away from home, but they can't really get much better at home.

Sergio Aguero and Yaya Toure are the stand out players for City with David Silva injured, but Alvaro Negredo and Samir Nasri should be considered too.

Spurs have taken 10 points from their five away games and only conceded one goal in those games. They are struggling in front of goal though with only nine goals in 11 games and that statistic has to improve if they are to challenge for a top four place. They will have their work cut out to get anything from this game and it could be a tough afternoon for them.

Spurs defenders such as Jan Vertonghen, Kyle Walker, Michael Dawson and Hugo Lloris are good fantasy choices but possibly not in this game. From an attacking point Andros Townsend looks like he might be worth considering.

I think City's home form will be too much for Spurs and they will win by a couple of goals.

Prediction: 2-0

Cardiff City v Manchester United

4pm GMT, Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

Cardiff have made themselves difficult to beat but they have found goals hard to come by with only the bottom two scoring less than them. They have been solid in defence at home in particular though and will do their best to make things hard for United. If they are going to get anything from this game they will have to be at their very best in defence.

It's hard to see any Cardiff players that stand out for fantasy managers although Steven Caulker and David Marshall aren't doing too badly.

United have won their last three league games and won three of their five away games. They have been far from their best so far but find themselves only five points behind the leaders. Only Arsenal have scored more goals away from home than United and they will feel they should win their fourth league game in a row.

Both Wayne Rooney and Robin van Persie are doing the business for United at the moment and hard to ignore for fantasy managers.

Despite Cardiff being a tough team to beat at home I think United will get the better of them.

Prediction: 1-3

Monday November 25

West Bromwich Albion v Aston Villa

8pm GMT, The Hawthorns, Birmingham 

West Brom should have won their last game away to Chelsea but they were robbed of the win by a terrible refereeing decision. They have taken seven points in their last three home games after a poor start to the season and only Arsenal scored against them in any of those three games. They will think they have a very good chance of taking all three points in this local derby.

Gareth McAuley and Liam Ridgewell are both worth considering for fantasy managers and Morgan Amalfitano might be worth a punt too.

Villa have only lost one of their five away games and only Spurs have conceded less goals away from home. The two goals they scored in their last game were their first goals in five games and that's something that has to change. Their style seems ideally suited to playing away from home and they will hope it pays off in this game.

Christian Benteke is still the Villa player most likely to succeed for fantasy managers with Bradley Guzan doing quite well too.

Derbies are always tough to call but I have a feeling the spoils will be shared in this game.

Prediction: 1-1

That's it for this week.

See you next week.

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