Thursday, 12 March 2020

Predictions For Premier League Gameweek 30

It’s that time of the week again when I attempt to predict the outcomes of the upcoming Premier League games. I did reasonably well last week with two perfect predictions, three correct outcomes and five incorrect outcomes, but it wasn’t good enough to stop me losing more ground in my predictions league. Here’s a look at how the top five in that league stands with me nowhere to be seen.

POSITIONPLAYER NAMETHIS WEEKPOINTS
 1 (1) GoonerLaw

+55
1885
 2 (2) Invader 67

+65
1535
 3 (4) Mystical 

+90
1525
 4 (5) AFCDAVE 1515
 4 (3) Feel

+65
1515

Saturday March 14

Watford v Leicester City

12.30pm GMT, Vicarage Road, Watford 

Watford lost 1-0 away to Palace last week and they’re only outside the relegation zone on goal difference. They have taken 14 points from their last seven home games and they kept clean sheets in five of those games. They have only won once in their last seven games although that was against runaway league leaders Liverpool.

Ismailia Sarr, Abdoulaye Doucoure and Troy Deeney are the Watford players who might make a difference for fantasy managers.

Leicester strolled to a 4-0 victory at home to Villa last week to move eight points clear of the team in fifth place. They have only taken one point and scored one goal in their last three away games with only City and Chelsea scoring more away goals and only Liverpool and Sheffield United conceding less. The win against Villa was only their second win in eight games, but they only need a few more wins to guarantee Champions League football for next season.

It looks like Jamie Vardy might be back in form for fantasy managers while Harvey Barnes could be worth a punt too.

This isn’t an easy game to call and I wouldn’t be surprised if there was nothing between the teams at the end.

Prediction: 1-1

Bournemouth v Crystal Palace 

3pm GMT, Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth 

Bournemouth lost 1-0 away to Liverpool last week to remain in the bottom three, but only on goal difference. They have taken seven points and scored seven goals in their last three home games. They have only taken one point from their last four games, but four of them were away from home and if they’re going to beat the drop it’s points won at home that will do it for them.

I can’t see any Bournemouth players to recommend to fantasy managers at the moment.

Palace won 1-0 at home to Watford last week and they’re only in the bottom half of the table because Burnley have scored more goals than them. They have only lost one of their last five away games and they will fancy their chances in this game. They have won their last three games by the same 1-0 scoreline after failing to win the previous seven or keep a clean sheet in the previous 10.

Palace’s defenders and keeper have done very well for fantasy managers recently and they could do well in this game again.

I think Palace might just have enough to win this game by the only goal in it.

Prediction: 0-1

Brighton And Hove Albion v Arsenal 

3pm GMT, AMEX Stadium, Brighton 

Brighton drew 0-0 away to a Wolves last week and they’re only two points above the relegation zone. They have only won once in their last eight home games and their next four home games are all very difficult. They haven’t won in nine games and they failed to score in their last two. 

Given their current form and upcoming fixtures I can’t see any Brighton players to recommend to fantasy managers.

Arsenal won 1-0 at home to West Ham last week to move up to ninth place and then their midweek game at City was postponed with players in self isolation due to a minor risk of Covid-19. They haven’t lost in seven away games, but they drew six of them and they have only won two of their 13 away games. They won their last three games and are unbeaten in eight games with clean sheets in four of them, but no other team has drawn more games.

If this game does go ahead Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Nicolas Pepe and maybe even Bukayo Saka as a cheap option are the Arsenal players of interest to fantasy managers.

I think this will be another very close game with Arsenal just about emerging with the three points.

Prediction: 1-2

Manchester City v Burnley 

3pm GMT, Etihad Stadium, Manchester 

City lost 2-0 away to United on Sunday and then their midweek game at home to Arsenal was postponed to leave them 25 points behind Liverpool at the top of the table. Only Liverpool have won more games and scored more goals at home while no other team has conceded less goals on their own patch. They have only won three of their last six games, but no other team has scored more goals.

If he’s fit to play Kevin de Bruyne is the City player to have for fantasy managers while Sergio Aguero can’t be ignored too.

Burnley drew 1-1 at home to Spurs last week to move into the top half of the table. They have taken seven points and only conceded one goal in their last three away games and that included a win away to United. They’re unbeaten in seven games and they kept clean sheets in four of them, but no other team in the top half of the table has conceded more goals.

Nick Pope has been the best Burnley player for fantasy managers while Dwight McNeil and Chris Wood are worth considering too, but maybe not in this game.

I think City will prolong their agony for just a little longer by winning this game.

Prediction: 3-1

Newcastle United v Sheffield United 

3pm GMT, St. James’s Park, Newcastle 

Newcastle won 1-0 away to Southampton last week to move eight points clear of the bottom three. They haven’t conceded a goal in their last three home games and no other team has conceded less goals at home. They have only lost two of their last eight games and they kept clean sheets in four of those games, but no other team has scored less goals.

Newcastle’s defenders and keepers look like good bets for fantasy managers when they are playing at home at least.

United won 1-0 at home to Norwich last week and they’re only two points off fifth place with a game in hand. They have only lost two of their 13 away games with only Liverpool conceding less goals on their travels. They have taken 10 points from their last four games and they only conceded two goals in those games with only Liverpool conceding less goals.

United’s defenders and keeper continue to be very good options for fantasy managers and everybody should have at least one of them.

I think this will be a very tight game and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it end in a scoreless draw.

Prediction: 0-0

Norwich City v Southampton 

3pm GMT, Carrow Road, Norwich 

Norwich lost 1-0 away to Sheffield United last week and they’re still rock bottom of the table with only nine games left to play. They have taken eight points from their last five home games, but only Southampton have taken less points and conceded more goals at home. They have only taken four points from their last six games and they only scored two goals in those games with no other team scoring less goals and only Villa conceding more.

Despite some good defensive performances recently I still can’t see any Norwich players to recommend to fantasy managers.

Southampton lost 1-0 at home to Newcastle last week, but they still have seven points to spare over the bottom three. Only five other teams have taken more points away from home, but they have lost their last two away games and they conceded seven goals in those games. They have lost five of their last seven games and they conceded 13 goals in those games with only Villa conceding more goals.

None of the Southampton players have done much recently for fantasy managers and it might be best to avoid them.

This is a game Norwich really need to win, but I think Southampton will take the three points narrowly.

Prediction: 1-2

Aston Villa v Chelsea 

5.30pm GMT, Villa Park, Birmingham 

Villa lost 4-0 away to Leicester last week to drop back to second last in the table. They have lost four of their last six home games and they conceded 17 goals in those games. They have lost their last four games and they conceded 11 goals in those games with no other team conceding more goals.

Jack Grealish has been by far the best of the Villa players for fantasy managers, but his output has fallen off in recent weeks.

Chelsea won 4-0 at home to Everton last week and they still have three points to spare over fifth place. They haven’t won in their last four away games, but only the top two have taken more points on the road and only City have scored more goals. They took seven points from their last three games after failing to win the previous four and they scored eight goals in winning those seven points.

With a good run of games coming up players like Mason Mount, Willian and even Olivier Giroud could be worth considering for fantasy managers.

I think Villa’s woes will continue with Chelsea winning this game by at least a couple of goals.

Prediction: 1-3

Sunday March 15

West Ham United v Wolverhampton Wanderers 

2pm GMT, London Stadium, London 

West Ham lost 1-0 away to Arsenal last week, but they’re still outside the relegation zone on goal difference.They have taken eight points from their last five home games and they scored 11 goals in those games, but they conceded seven with only Southampton taking less points and conceding more goals at home. They have only taken five points from their last nine games and they have a very tough run of games coming up.

Michail Antonio, Jarrod Bowen and Pablo Fornals have all done reasonably well for fantasy managers recently and could be worth considering.

Wolves drew 0-0 at home to Brighton last week and they’re now two points behind fifth placed United. They have taken seven points from their last three away games and only the top four have taken more points on their travels. They have taken 11 points from their last five games and they kept four clean sheets in those games.

Raul Jiminez and Matt Doherty remain the best bets in the Wolves team for fantasy managers while Adama Traore, Diogo Jota and all of their defenders and keeper are worth a look at the moment too.

I think Wolves will be too good for a West Ham team who have improved recently, but could end up in the bottom three after this game.

Prediction: 1-2

Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United 

4.30pm GMT, Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London 

Spurs drew 1-1 away to Burnley last week to drop back to eighth in the table with the teams behind them catching them quickly. They have won three and lost three of their last six home games with only the top three winning more games at home. They have only won three of their last 10 games and they conceded eight goals in their last four games with no other team in the top half of the table conceding more goals.

Dele Alli is probably the only Spurs player for fantasy managers to consider at the moment.

United won 2-0 at home to City last week and they’re in fifth place only three points behind Chelsea. They have only taken seven points from their last six away games, but those away games do get easier after this one. They have taken 11 points from their last five games while keeping four clean sheets in those games and they have a very good run of games to finish their season.

United players seem to be at a premium for fantasy managers at the moment with Bruno Fernandes the pick of the bunch while all of their defenders and keeper are doing well too.

I think this will be a very close game and I wouldn’t be surprised if the spoils were shared.

Prediction: 1-1

Monday March 16

Everton v Liverpool 

8pm GMT, Goodison Park, Liverpool 

Everton lost 3-0 away to Chelsea last week to drop back to 12th place, but they’re only two points off the top half of the table. They have taken 15 points from their last seven home games and they kept clean sheets in three of those games. They have only taken one point in their last three games and they conceded eight goals in those games with only five other teams conceding more goals.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Richarlison are the Everton players most likely to make a difference for fantasy managers.

Liverpool won 2-1 at home to Bournemouth last week to move 25 points clear at the top of the table and within six points of winning the league with nine games left to play. They may have lost their last away game, but they have won 12 of their 14 games on the road and no other team has conceded less goals on their travels. They have won 27 of their 29 games and the title is theirs despite going out of the Champions League in midweek.

Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane are still the best options in the Liverpool team for fantasy managers along with all of their defenders.

I think Everton will give their all to get something from this local derby, but Liverpool will take the three points.

Prediction: 1-2

That’s it for this week.

See you next week.

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