Thursday 3 November 2016

Predictions For Premier League Gameweek 11

It's that time of the week again when I attempt to predict the outcomes of the upcoming Premier League games. I had a bad week last week with only four correct outcomes and six incorrect. At least I just about managed to stay on top of my predictions league as you can see from the table below.

NameBadgesThis WeekPTS
 1 (1)  Michael Sheehy 4-25730
 2 (2)  Rutland Gooner 3+90710
 3 (3)  Karl-Yngve Lund 2+60575
 4 (5)  Wayne Hubbard +45475
 5 (4) sensisoccerworld 10460



Saturday November 5

Bournemouth v Sunderland 

3pm GMT, Dean Court, Bournemouth 

Bournemouth lost away to Boro last week, but they will be hopeful of a change in fortunes at home to the bottom club. They have taken 10 points from their five home games with only the top four scoring more goals at home. Since putting six past Hull they haven't scored in two games and they have kept a clean sheet in three of their five home games.

Bournemouth's defenders have done well in home games and might be a good option in this game.

Sunderland were beaten at home by Arsenal last week and they are the only team in the Premier League without a win after 10 games. They have only taken one point in their five away games with only Burnley scoring less goals on their travels. They have only two points from their 10 games and they're the lowest scorers with only Hull conceding more goals.

Jermain Defoe continues to be the one Sunderland player who could be considered by fantasy managers.

I think Bournemouth should be strong enough at home to take the three points and continue Sunderland's misery.

Prediction: 2-1

Burnley v Crystal Palace 

3pm GMT, Turf Moor, Burnley

Burnley got a very good point at home to United last week and they're managing to keep a safe distance from the relegation zone. They have taken 10 points from their six home games and have only conceded four goals in those games. Only Sunderland have scored less goals than Burnley, but only one other team in the bottom half of the table has conceded less goals.

Tom Heaton excelled for Burnley last week and he's been very good for fantasy managers so far.

Palace lost 4-2 at home to Liverpool last week after twice coming from behind to level the game. They have taken more points on the road than at home so far with only the top five scoring more away goals. They have lost their last three games and conceded eight goals in the process, but only five teams have scored more goals so far.

James McArthur is available at a very good price and has done well for fantasy managers in recent weeks.

I think this will be a very close game and a draw is probably the most likely outcome.

Prediction: 1-1

Manchester City v Middlesbrough 

3pm GMT, Etihad Stadium, Manchester 

City put an end to their recent poor run with a 4-0 win away to West Brom last week and followed it up by beating Barcelona in midweek. They are one of five teams unbeaten at home with only Chelsea winning more points on their own ground. They are the highest scorers in the league, but they have only managed two clean sheets in their 10 games so far.

Sergio Aguero bounced back last week for fantasy managers while Kevin de Bruyne and Raheem Sterling are still looking good too.

Boro followed up their point at Arsenal by winning 2-0 at home to Bournemouth last week and they moved three points clear of the relegation zone. They have only lost one of their five away games with only Arsenal and Spurs conceding less goals away from home. They have kept a clean sheet in their last two games and have the best defensive record in the bottom half of the league.

Some of the Boro defenders have done well recently for fantasy managers, but they might not be the best bet in this game.

I think City should be too good for Boro on their own ground and should win by a couple of goals at least.

Prediction: 2-0

West Ham United v Stoke City

3pm GMT, London Stadium, London

West Ham lost away to Everton last week and they're still too close to the bottom three for comfort. They have won as many games as they have lost at home, but only four other teams have conceded more goals at home. Only the bottom three have lost more games than West Ham with only Hull and Sunderland conceding more goals.

Dimitri Payet is still by far the best fantasy option in the West Ham team.

Stoke won again last week when they beat struggling Swansea 3-1 to move clear of the relegation zone. They have only won once in their five away games, but they have only scored five goals in those games. After a slow start to the season they have won their last three games and scored seven goals in those games while only conceding one.

Joe Allen just can't stop performing for fantasy managers at the moment and Marco Arnoutovic (if he's fit) isn't the worst fantasy option either.

I think this will be a very close game, but I have a feeling Stoke might just shade it.

Prediction: 1-2

Chelsea v Everton

5.30pm GMT, Stamford Bridge, London

Chelsea won away to Southampton last week to bring an end to a very good month for them. They have taken more points and scored more goals at home than any other team even if they did lose at home to Liverpool. Since losing to Arsenal they have won their last four games without conceding a goal and scoring 11.

Diego Costa, Eden Hazard, Victor Moses and the Chelsea defenders are all looking very good for fantasy managers at the moment.

Everton got back to winning ways last week with a 2-0 win at home to West Ham. They have won as many games as they have lost away from home, but only Arsenal and Spurs have conceded less goals on the road. That win last week was their first one in five games, but only the top four have scored more goals than Everton.

Romelu Lukaku looks like a must have for fantasy managers at the moment with Yannick Bolasie looking pretty good too.

I think Everton will make a game of it, but Chelsea will take the three points.

Prediction: 2-1

Sunday November 6

Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur 

12pm GMT, Emirates Stadium, London

Arsenal beat Sunderland 4-1 last week to stay just behind City on goal difference at the top of the table. They have taken 10 points from their five home games with only Chelsea scoring more goals at home, but no other team in the top half of the table has conceded more goals at home. They are unbeaten in their last nine league games and in 15 in all competitions and they have scored 38 goals in those games.

Alexis Sanchez is the Arsenal player to have for fantasy managers with Mesut Ozil, Theo Walcott and Hector Bellerin all looking good too as long as Walcott and Bellerin are fit to play.

Spurs could only draw 1-1 at home to Leicester last week and they have dropped back to fifth in the table. They are one of only two teams unbeaten away from home with no other team has conceded less goals on their travels, but they have drawn three of their five away games. They are the only unbeaten team in the league, but they have drawn their last three games and only scored two goals in those games.

Dele Alli is the attacking Spurs player most likely to perform for fantasy managers, but their defenders are the real ones to have.

I think this will be a very close affair, but Arsenal will just about manage a narrow victory.

Prediction: 2-1

Hull City v Southampton 

2.15pm GMT, KCOM Stadium, Hull

Hull lost narrowly away to Watford last week and they are already looking like it will be an uphill struggle for them to stay in the Premier League. They have lost four of their five home games with only Sunderland conceding more goals on their own patch. They have lost their last six games and conceded 20 goals in the process and they have the worst defensive record in the league.

Robert Snodgrass had being doing well for fantasy managers a few weeks ago, but he's injured and there are no Hull players worth considering right now.

Southampton lost at home to Chelsea last week to put an end to a very good run of results. They have only won once in their five away games, but they have only scored and conceded five goals in those games. That defeat against Chelsea was their first defeat in six games, but they have struggled to score goals and they're the lowest scorers in the top half of the table.

Charlie Austin and Nathan Redmond have done well for fantasy managers while the Southampton defenders haven't done too badly either.

I think Southampton are more than good enough to take the three points in this game.

Prediction: 0-2

Liverpool v Watford

2.15pm GMT, Anfield, Liverpool

Liverpool won 4-2 away to Palace last week and are only behind City and Arsenal on goal difference at the top of the table. They have taken 10 points from their four home games with only Chelsea scoring more goals at home. No other team has scored more goals than Liverpool, but they have conceded quite a few too and there have been more goals in their games than any other team.

Phillippe Coutinho looks to be the best fantasy bet in the Liverpool team, but Roberto Frimino, Sadio Mane and Adam Lallana all doing well too.

Watford just about managed to beat Hull last week and are well positioned in the top half of the table. They have only lost one of their five away games and like quite a few other teams only Arsenal and Spurs have conceded less goals away from home. They have taken seven points in their last three games and didn't concede a goal in any of them.

Watford's defenders have done very well for fantasy managers in recent, but that could change in this game.

I think Liverpool should have too much firepower for Watford and should win by a couple of goals.

Prediction: 3-1

Swansea City v Manchester United 

3pm GMT, Liberty Stadium, Swansea

Swansea were beaten again last week when they went down 3-1 at Stoke and it's not looking good for them right now. They are one of the two teams without a home win so far and only Hull have scored less goals at home. They have only taken two points from their last five games and they're second last in the table, five points from safety.

Gylfi Siggurdsen is still managing to rack up the points for fantasy managers despite Swansea's current woes.

United could only draw at home to Burnley last week and they are now eight points behind the league leaders. They have won as many games as they have lost on the road and Liverpool are the only team in the top half of the table to have conceded more away goals. They haven't won in their last four league games and have failed to score in the last three.

The United defenders have done quite well for fantasy managers, but none of their attacking players have impressed for a while.

Swansea need to get something from this game, but I think their woes will continue with United winning narrowly.

Prediction: 1-2

Leicester City v West Bromwich Albion

4.30pm GMT, KC Stadium, Leicester 

Leicester got a very good point away to Spurs last week and it was their first away point of the season. They are one of the five teams unbeaten at home and no other team has conceded less goals on their own ground. They're already 10 points off the top four and any hopes of retaining their title are more or less gone.

Leicester's defenders have done well for fantasy managers at home, but their attacking players are still struggling to find their feet this season.

West Brom were soundly beaten at home by City last week and have dropped to just three points above the bottom three. They have taken as many points away from home as they have at home with only three teams scoring less away goals and only two teams conceding less on the road. They haven't won in their last five games since putting four past West Ham and they will struggle to get anything from this game.

Nacer Chadli has been by far the best fantasy performer in the West Brom team and should definitely be considered by fantasy managers if he's fit to play.

I think Leicester should be too strong for West Brom on their own patch.

Prediction: 2-0

That's it for this week.

See you next week.

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